Since the Fall of 2008, the game that I mark on my calendar every football season has been the match-up with the Iowa Hawkeyes. That was the year that they knocked Penn State out of the hunt for the National Championship Game, what's worse was that it was with a last second field goal. I will never forget that night, which is why I look forward to this match-up every time it has been put on the schedule.
If we are being completely honest, Iowa has been our kryptonite in recent years as we hold a 1-7 record in our last 8 games against them. The problem with that record is that a lot of that has been due to the coaching prowess of Kirk Ferentz. He has done a great job over the years preparing his teams to play against Penn State, and some would say that he has a formula of success against JoePa that rivals any other coach. No other coach has had JoePa's number like Ferentz, except for the late Bear Bryant who held a 4-0 record against a much younger JoePa.
The way Iowa has had success against PSU in recent years has been due to a great game plan and execution. If we are being honest, those Iowa teams that have beaten Penn State in recent years were never more athletic, far less talented, and were young, still searching for their identity. They were always the underdogs, fighting from their backs, and playing like they had nothing to lose. They always brought their A game and have had success doing it.The question is, will this Iowa team be able to continue this streak against PSU or have things changed?
The truth is that things have changed, this time Penn State is the underdog and the young team that is searching for their identity. They are just as talented as Iowa, but this Iowa team is far more athletic and talented than those Hawks teams of the past. This year, the Hawkeyes know who they are, they have been through trials together, and have a seasoned vet at Quarterback in Ricky Stanzi. So the question is, what will Ferentz do with more? Will he be able to keep this streak going, or will he be the one with shattered dreams?
This time around, the keys to this game will go down to who has the better game plan and who executes their game plan the best. The match-ups are fairly balanced, but we will go ahead a break them down anyways because I know that there are a lot of you that are still not that familiar with either side yet this year, especially because a lot of you don't really start paying attention until conference play anyways, which include all of you that are still shaking your head in doubt by seeing the results of the Temple game and do not realize that this was a different Temple team.
Here We Go.
Penn State O-Line vs. Iowa D-Line
I'm going to start with this match-up because this will be the key for Penn State. Executing on the line of scrimmage and in the trenches. While Penn State boasts an experienced offensive line and has only allowed 1 sack all year, they have not yet faced a D-line that is as experienced and as deep as Iowa's. Iowa has a first rounder in Adrian Clayborn, who single-handedly willed Iowa to a win last year in Happy Valley. In case you forgot, he was the man with dreads that blocked that punt and returned it for a touchdown all by his lonesome.
The Good News: Penn State is coming off of its best offensive performance all year, opening up running lanes, and protecting the QB. The offense has its best all-around game statistically all year, excluding converting in the red zone this past week.
The Bad News: We lost starting RT Lou Eliades to a torn ACL and Chima Okoli's first start will be against a veteran defense against Iowa.
The Edge: Penn State will still have an advantage running off the right side of the line and away from Clayborn, but still have not proven themselves against a veteran pass-rusher coming off the edge as well. With the experience and depth on their side of the line, I give the advantage here to Iowa.
Penn State Running Backs vs. Iowa Linebackers
Evan Royster is coming off of a career performance after breaking out of an early season slump and still has more to prove. He is playing with more of an edge that I have ever seen him play with throughout his career. If the offensive line gives him some lanes, he could do some serious damage against this Iowa defense. Iowa on the other hand is still breaking in a new line-backing corps as they lost two of their leaders from last year's defense to the NFL in AJ Edds and Pat Angerer, who served as their run defense over the past couple of years.
The Good News: Royster looks fit and was hitting the hole hard last week, hitting on four runs of 10 yards or more throughout the game. Iowa's aggressive pass rush could create some favorable match-ups for the run game with our zone blocking and tendency to run draws.
The Bad News: This Hawkeye team loves to fly to the ball and feeds off of turnovers and Royster has had some early season struggles holding on to the ball. Look for them to rip the ball every single chance they get and they will definitely be focused on shutting down the run and forcing Bolden to throw more often.
The Edge: Penn State's depth and experience at RB definitely holds the advantage over this relatively young LB unit for Iowa, however their overall run defense is a much more favorable match-up. Edge goes to Iowa in this one.
Penn State Wide Receivers vs Iowa Secondary
While Bolden is still young and developing at Quarterback, Iowa is entering the season with a very seasoned secondary. The only problem is that the success Iowa's previous secondaries was in large part due to their linebacker play and getting after the QB. They created a lot of opportunities for their secondary to make plays. The problem is that this year, Penn State's receivers have a lot of size and on the ball skill and Iowa has not had to deal with that in the past. Yeah they have the experience and talent with Prater and Sash, but I believe the size and speed of PSU's receivers will create favorable match-up against Iowa's secondary. I also expect Bolden to play a little bit better having already played at Bama on the road in only his second start.
The Good News: Bolden has developed more chemistry w/his receivers and the coaches are giving him more options with play-calling, which plays greatly to his strengths. The receivers got the advantage with size and speed. Also, last time Iowa faced a spread passing attack, Arizona QB Nick Foles dropped over 300 yards on them through the air.
The Bad News: Iowa has a seasoned secondary and windy conditions have definitely played to their favor in past match-ups.
The Edge: This one actually goes to Penn State, even though they have a freshman QB, I believe he has gained more familiarity with the offense enough to challenge an experienced secondary on the road.
Iowa O-Line vs. Penn State D-Line
This is going to be one of the most interesting match-ups throughout the entire game because in previous match-ups, Iowa's bread and butter was their offensive line. They dominated the line of scrimmage from start to finish, and I believe that this is the year that it has finally caught up to them. They've got three underclassmen on the offensive line, while replacing four starters on the offensive line, and if you include the tight end position, that's five new starters in the trenches. Not to mention, that three of those guys they're replacing are currently starting in the league on Sundays. It will be definitely be a sight to see, especially if Penn State can get consistent pressure on the QB against a unit that has allowed 9 sacks on the year.
The Good News: We have some experience on defense and it seems as if we're finally starting to click on the defensive line. The ends have finally started pushing other and are paced by the motor of Pete Massaro and attitude of Ollie Ogbu. Iowa also has been struggling with disciplined play on the offensive line, as they have been averaging 44 penalty yards a game, the highest in the past 4 seasons for a Kirk Ferentz coached team.
The Bad News: Kirk Ferentz knows how to coach up young offensive linemen and get them ready for big games.
The Edge: Penn State's defensive line gets the edge in this one, looked for them to sack Stanzi at least three times by the end of this one.
Iowa Running Backs vs. Penn State Linebackers
This is actually a match-up that I do not know what I should expect. Iowa is running very thin at the running back position with the departure of Brandon Wegher in the off-season and another season-ending knee injury to Jewel Hampton, but they have always done a good job at plugging in physical running backs. On the other side of the ball, Penn State has a 6 man rotation at linebacker, and it seems as if last game was a sort of coming out party for the likes of Mike Mauti and Nate Stupar as they paced the defense against Temple.
The Good News: Penn State always finds a way to get the job done, that is why they're known as "Linebacker U". Also, Adam Robinson is fairly new at having a heavy workload, and the depth behind Robinson is fairly inexperienced as well.
The Bad News: Adam Robinson keeps his pad level low and shrugs tacklers off with ease, but will the Lions be able to contain him and tackle on first contact, or will this be another reminder of Trent Richardson and the Bama game.
The Edge: Considering the depth at each position and the experience, I give the edge to the Penn State Linebackers. Either way, look for there to be some jaw-dropping collisions when these sides meet.
Iowa Wide Receivers vs. Penn State Secondary
This will be the most nerve-wracking match up of the night for me. Iowa has a veteran at the helms in Ricky Stanzi and has two great wide receivers on the outside in Derrell Johnson-Koulianos and Marvin McNutt. These guys are simply electric and make plays all over the field, whether its catching a pass down the field or on special teams, these guys are something else. On the other hand, we have a very physical tandem of our own in defensive backs Stephon Morris and D'Anton Lynn, but do they have the help over top to limit these guys from making big plays?
The Good News: Sukay stopped playing with his hands tied behind his back last week and made two big plays, getting his first two picks of the year. Will he be able to stay on a roll and protect our corners over the top?
The Bad News: These guys are three and four year starters that have the potential to break the game open at any moment. Even their third receiver in the slot, Colin Sandeman would be a viable number one option at a variety of division one schools.
The Edge: This one definitely goes to the Hawkeyes with Stanzi at QB and those guys on the outside, we're definitely going to need to pressure the QB or he is going to have a great time all night long and sip lemonade on the sidelines.
How these match-ups factor into a game as this one all goes back to the beginning, the execution and the game plan. No matter the outcome of this game, this will definitely be a very physical match-up. The tone of this game is going to be set early and it is going to start in the trenches. The question is that who is going to land the first punch and get this grudge match going.
In order for Penn State to be successful in this game, they will have to strike first and convert in the red zone. If they can put Iowa in a hole early and play sound defense, they can all but eliminate how Coach Ferentz loves to play football, which is by running the ball and controlling the tempo. Getting them out of that comfort zone is key, and even though I said this match-up favors Iowa, getting them to throw the ball more and more. I say this because Iowa's success passing has always been a reflection of their run game as its set up man. If we shut down the run and get them to throw and throw often then we can control the game, we can set the pace, and win the game.
The problem is that this team has faced a lot of adversity in the past, which is why we need to hit them hard, score first and score fast. Do not give them a chance to get on a roll. Take it to Adam Robinson knowing that he does not have much behind them to pace this Iowa offense. If Iowa scores first and sets the pace by running the ball well, then it is going to be a long game for us. Either way both defenses will be getting to the QBs and it is going to be a lot of hard hitting fun to watch.
In the end, it is going to be a close game and is going to come down to who controls the line of scrimmage in this one. Both coaches like to play with possession and tired opposing defenses out. The question is which young offensive line is going to have the most success, and which rushing attack will set the tone. I would like to say ours, but since we are the underdogs in this one I am going to go ahead and pick Iowa in a tight one. Even though in my heart I believe Penn State will win this game, I have to go ahead and pick the Hawks. For everyone's sake, I'm hoping that I am way wrong on this one.
Iowa 27 - 24 Penn State
WE ARE..........................
Thursday, September 30, 2010
Monday, September 27, 2010
Temple Recap
The game came and went, and we are now left with just as many questions as answers as we had heading into last weekend. Yes, Temple was way better than any of the Nittany faithful were expecting this past weekend and they came out and punched Penn State right in the mouth. It was a great test of adversity, but we learned a lot from this past weekend.
Temple came out of the gates like a ticked off teenager this week and seriously brought it to the Nittany Lions. This was not the same Temple team that we have faced in previous years and they deserve credit for making this into a serious contest because our team needed a game like this before Big Ten play. All credit to the Owls and Al Golden for bringing in a team that came in with the expectation to win, and if they had some semblance of a passing game, they just might have pulled off the feat. I think the rest of the country will realize who Temple is at the end of the year, when they finish the season as MAC champions with an 11-1 record.
As for the game, Temple got off to a pretty fast start with their physical play and everyone got to see a glimpse of Bernard Pierce in action as he accounted for both of their first quarter touchdowns. Who would've known that Temple would have come in and seized the lead early in this game against Penn State (Steve Pick). They showed that they could play just as physical a game as Penn State, and they made something happen that needed to happen. They gave us even more of a reason to play with an edge, especially after going in to halftime down 13-9 to Temple.
Penn State came out in the second half on fire on the defensive side of the ball. I think the defense found its leaders in Nate Stupar and Mike Mauti, did anyone notice how fast they were flying to the ball? That is something that we have been missing since game 1. The rest of the defense fueled off of their attitude and starting making plays all over field, and simply shut Temple out for the remainder of the game to the tune of only two first downs for Temple the entire second half.
Another aspect of the game was the way Royster was running. He's back and he looked good breaking off at least five runs of ten yards or more. I don't want to hear this is Temple, he should've had 300 yards because the truth is that Temple's defensive line has two future NFL players on it and a future NFL linebacker that are pretty good at stopping the run. Either way, its great to see Royster run well and even better to see him get more than 9 touches and get into a rhythm. My hats are off to the coaches as they made excellent decisions by sticking with the run and allowing Royster to break out of his "slump" right before a big match-up looming with Iowa.
As for the rest of the offense, they did a great job of staying balanced and I loved that they opened it up a little bit and loosened their hold on Bolden. They are letting him take more chances and actually take the reins of the offense, they are truly starting to let him run the show. I have to give the coaches credit for their play calling all game, taking risks with Bolden, knowing that they were in a dog fight with Temple. It was so great to see them have faith in their young QB to lead the team in a tight match-up and develop some sort of an identity.
As for the play of the offense, they did a great job all over the field except for one area....the red zone. A majority of their drives ended in field goals rather than touchdowns and that needs to change. We need to start converting more of these opportunities if we want to have a chance at competing with the likes of Iowa and Ohio State. On a more positive note, Bolden did lead a late 96 yard touchdown drive that all but sealed the victory for Penn State. If they can continue to build off of that, then we got a great chance of making some noise during Big Ten play.
All in all, the game was pretty ugly by our standards because we would have liked to see a blowout over Temple. In my opinion, I think it was a beautiful game, there is nothing better for a team than a true test before conference play. This reminds me of 2005 when we struggled against a lowly USF team, and only beat them 23-13. By the end of the year, a lot of the players were saying that that game (and the NW game) helped them identify what they needed to get done in order to win.
Up Next: Iowa Preview
WE ARE......................
Temple came out of the gates like a ticked off teenager this week and seriously brought it to the Nittany Lions. This was not the same Temple team that we have faced in previous years and they deserve credit for making this into a serious contest because our team needed a game like this before Big Ten play. All credit to the Owls and Al Golden for bringing in a team that came in with the expectation to win, and if they had some semblance of a passing game, they just might have pulled off the feat. I think the rest of the country will realize who Temple is at the end of the year, when they finish the season as MAC champions with an 11-1 record.
As for the game, Temple got off to a pretty fast start with their physical play and everyone got to see a glimpse of Bernard Pierce in action as he accounted for both of their first quarter touchdowns. Who would've known that Temple would have come in and seized the lead early in this game against Penn State (Steve Pick). They showed that they could play just as physical a game as Penn State, and they made something happen that needed to happen. They gave us even more of a reason to play with an edge, especially after going in to halftime down 13-9 to Temple.
Penn State came out in the second half on fire on the defensive side of the ball. I think the defense found its leaders in Nate Stupar and Mike Mauti, did anyone notice how fast they were flying to the ball? That is something that we have been missing since game 1. The rest of the defense fueled off of their attitude and starting making plays all over field, and simply shut Temple out for the remainder of the game to the tune of only two first downs for Temple the entire second half.
Another aspect of the game was the way Royster was running. He's back and he looked good breaking off at least five runs of ten yards or more. I don't want to hear this is Temple, he should've had 300 yards because the truth is that Temple's defensive line has two future NFL players on it and a future NFL linebacker that are pretty good at stopping the run. Either way, its great to see Royster run well and even better to see him get more than 9 touches and get into a rhythm. My hats are off to the coaches as they made excellent decisions by sticking with the run and allowing Royster to break out of his "slump" right before a big match-up looming with Iowa.
As for the rest of the offense, they did a great job of staying balanced and I loved that they opened it up a little bit and loosened their hold on Bolden. They are letting him take more chances and actually take the reins of the offense, they are truly starting to let him run the show. I have to give the coaches credit for their play calling all game, taking risks with Bolden, knowing that they were in a dog fight with Temple. It was so great to see them have faith in their young QB to lead the team in a tight match-up and develop some sort of an identity.
As for the play of the offense, they did a great job all over the field except for one area....the red zone. A majority of their drives ended in field goals rather than touchdowns and that needs to change. We need to start converting more of these opportunities if we want to have a chance at competing with the likes of Iowa and Ohio State. On a more positive note, Bolden did lead a late 96 yard touchdown drive that all but sealed the victory for Penn State. If they can continue to build off of that, then we got a great chance of making some noise during Big Ten play.
All in all, the game was pretty ugly by our standards because we would have liked to see a blowout over Temple. In my opinion, I think it was a beautiful game, there is nothing better for a team than a true test before conference play. This reminds me of 2005 when we struggled against a lowly USF team, and only beat them 23-13. By the end of the year, a lot of the players were saying that that game (and the NW game) helped them identify what they needed to get done in order to win.
Up Next: Iowa Preview
WE ARE......................
Friday, September 24, 2010
ON LOCATION
I will be on location in Happy Valley tomorrow for the PSU vs. Temple showdown. I will try to set up a twitter account and link it to the blog for at the game updates. If you have questions during the game (like crowd atmosphere, how someone is behaving on the sideline etc) post on my twitter which I will post later tonight.
Rumor is Whiteout tomorrow!
WE ARE..............
Rumor is Whiteout tomorrow!
WE ARE..............
Thursday, September 23, 2010
A Little Temple, A Little M. Night
Temple is going to be a 10-2 team this year, that much is clear. Fortunately for Lions fans, one of those two losses will be to Penn State.
Here's the deal, Temple is becoming a real football powerhouse in the MAC, which is a little bit like being the best M. Night Shyamalan movie since the Village; it might be somewhat captivating like Lady in the Water, but when its competition is the Happening and the movie with that kid from Slumdog, we're not really saying anything.
Al Golden is onto something though. He's bringing in good players, teaching them discipline, but most remarkably of all, he's also brought a winning attitude to a program that only a few years ago would have elicited questions like: "wait, Temple has a football team?" Now, there are billboards along 95 and the Blue Route, selling the Owls as a Football Juggernaut. It's an interesting story to be sure, and I'm convinced that Temple will be in a major conference in the next five years, as long as Al Golden stays. I think he will stay too, because I don't think he's going to get the Penn State job. His cocky attitude and underdog demeanor have fit perfectly at Temple, and I don't foresee him leaving Temple until he's finished the season ranked.
But, even an interesting story can't lead Temple to a victory at Beaver Stadium, but that doesn't mean I'm not concerned. I watched the Kent State game, and I know that Bolden isn't there yet. He has too much skill for his own good, like Pryor in a way. He thinks he can make any throw, make any run, and he always trusts his instincts to make the right decision. How many times did we see him throw into double coverage during the last game? He threw into triple coverage at least two times. I'm not concerned about his development, but I'm slowly concerned about the hype. He will be the greatest passer in Penn State history, but he just won't be tomorrow.
The Owls are coming off of a big win over UConn, which would mean something, if UConn looked anything like they are supposed to look this year. But a win like that, even over an opponent who turns out to be overrated, still builds momentum. I look to see the Owls come out fired up, and I even think that they'll have the lead by a field goal or a touchdown at some point in the first half. Penn State won't hold them without a touchdown this time around, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Owls offense look strong. But Bernard Pierce isn't going to run for 169 yards and 3 TDs this week, like he did last week, and the Penn State defense is going to shut the Owls down for the middle half of the game, while the Lions Offense builds a lead.
Penn State will win this game by two scores, but it's going to be a dogfight in the Valley, and just when I start feeling comfortable about the win, the Owls will do something to make it interesting again. I am looking forward to this game as a good test for the Lions.
WE ARE...
Here's the deal, Temple is becoming a real football powerhouse in the MAC, which is a little bit like being the best M. Night Shyamalan movie since the Village; it might be somewhat captivating like Lady in the Water, but when its competition is the Happening and the movie with that kid from Slumdog, we're not really saying anything.
Al Golden is onto something though. He's bringing in good players, teaching them discipline, but most remarkably of all, he's also brought a winning attitude to a program that only a few years ago would have elicited questions like: "wait, Temple has a football team?" Now, there are billboards along 95 and the Blue Route, selling the Owls as a Football Juggernaut. It's an interesting story to be sure, and I'm convinced that Temple will be in a major conference in the next five years, as long as Al Golden stays. I think he will stay too, because I don't think he's going to get the Penn State job. His cocky attitude and underdog demeanor have fit perfectly at Temple, and I don't foresee him leaving Temple until he's finished the season ranked.
But, even an interesting story can't lead Temple to a victory at Beaver Stadium, but that doesn't mean I'm not concerned. I watched the Kent State game, and I know that Bolden isn't there yet. He has too much skill for his own good, like Pryor in a way. He thinks he can make any throw, make any run, and he always trusts his instincts to make the right decision. How many times did we see him throw into double coverage during the last game? He threw into triple coverage at least two times. I'm not concerned about his development, but I'm slowly concerned about the hype. He will be the greatest passer in Penn State history, but he just won't be tomorrow.
The Owls are coming off of a big win over UConn, which would mean something, if UConn looked anything like they are supposed to look this year. But a win like that, even over an opponent who turns out to be overrated, still builds momentum. I look to see the Owls come out fired up, and I even think that they'll have the lead by a field goal or a touchdown at some point in the first half. Penn State won't hold them without a touchdown this time around, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Owls offense look strong. But Bernard Pierce isn't going to run for 169 yards and 3 TDs this week, like he did last week, and the Penn State defense is going to shut the Owls down for the middle half of the game, while the Lions Offense builds a lead.
Penn State will win this game by two scores, but it's going to be a dogfight in the Valley, and just when I start feeling comfortable about the win, the Owls will do something to make it interesting again. I am looking forward to this game as a good test for the Lions.
WE ARE...
Fear the Owl
Here it is, the year of the Owls. Everyone in the state of Pennsylvania is talking about this match-up, which is pretty sad considering that Pitt plays Miami tonight in a prime time game. What's also sad is that this is the most intriguing match-up this weekend in Big Ten competition. Let me tell you something, a lot of people are picking the upset in this one.
There's a lot of talk surrounding this game, that this will be Al Golden's year to finally beat his Alma Mater and former coach. This will be the first time that Temple has defeated Penn State under a Joe Paterno coached team, moving the series to 26-1, in Penn State's favor. Bernard Pierce, Temple's All-MAC running-back will truly make a case for his chance at a Heisman run, and Adrian Robinson will wreak havoc all over our offensive line.
There's only one thing consistent about the above paragraph, that it is all talk. As for Temple, they have developed into a very respectable program under Al Golden, and yes this is his best team during his tenure. They are a very athletic team that is coming into this match-up 3-0, with nothing to lose and everything to gain. They have a great ground game on the offensive side of the ball and a very athletic defense that flies all over the field. Do they have a chance to pull the upset? Absolutely they do, but will they really beat Penn State this year?
I don't think so.
Make your case based on whatever hype articles you have read for this match-up, include the speculation, but when its all said and done they just don't match up well against this Penn State team. Yeah, they are 3-0 and coming into this match-up with a respectable team, but they really have not been as impressive as everyone makes them out to be. They beat Villanova (2009 FCS Champions) by a TD, Central Michigan by a FG, and their most impressive win was a 30-16 win over UConn.
Everyone is hyping Bernard Pierce, who had a very impressive freshman campaign rushing the ball, but he only has one 100+ yard game this season, which was against UConn. Their QB is a fantastic athlete, but he moves the ball down the field with a short passing game, with very minimal shots down the field, and lets his playmakers do the most of the work for him. Again, try not to put too much stock into the game against UConn because they were not who we thought they were.
As for the game itself and the match-ups, I'm going to just keep it simple and list the following:
PSU Passing Game vs. Temple Secondary
Temple has somewhat of an experienced secondary with only one underclassmen starting as a defensive back and Bolden lately has been trying to force some throws. This is where an X factor comes in, which is the size and experience of our receivers. If the game plan exposes these match-ups look for Bolden to throw for at least 200 yards again, but I wouldn't be surprised if there was a pick in there. In the end, Bolden throws for 250+ yards and 2 TDs.
PSU O-Line/RB vs. Temple Front Seven
Temple possesses a great pass rusher in Adrian Robinson, who will push Quinn Barham throughout the duration of the entire game. However, I would be very surprised to see us give up a sack to Temple throughout this game because other than Robinson, they have had trouble dialing up pressure against opposing QBs all year. I am also expecting a little more continuity on the O-Line on Penn State's behalf as Troutman has secured his spot at Left Guard. I also expect Royster to have somewhat of a breakout game, but I wouldn't be surprised if he didn't get more than ten carries. If that's the situation, try not to panic because JoePa rarely uses his feature backs til Big Ten Play. In the end, I'm going to say that Bolden gets some hurries, but no sacks and Royster has his first 100+ yard game of the year.
Temple Passing Attack vs. Penn State's secondary
While Penn State's secondary is very physical, I would expect Temple's short passing game to have some success moving the ball down the field against our defense. They like to find the soft spot in zones and we like to keep the receivers in front of us, which is a combination for success for the passing game. I still think that we have better athletes on this side of the ball and their QB has not been much of a threat throwing the ball, so I would expect at least one interception. In the end, I'm going to say that they have success in spurts moving the ball down the field, but never too much damage. By the game's end, I would expect our pass defense to improve by getting another pick and holding their passing game to sub 175 yards.
Temple's O-line/Ground Game vs. Penn State's Front Seven
Now this is the area that worries me a little bit. Temple has some size on the O-line as the smallest guy on their line checks in at 312. They also have a sound and physical running back in Bernard Pierce, and we all saw how much a physical ground game can affect our defense. In order for Penn State to win this match-up they are going to have to wrap up and prevent Pierce from churning out extra yards after contact. I do believe the experience and depth on our defensive will help throughout the game. In the end, I would expect most of Temple's damage to be done on the ground, as they have a very mobile QB and Pierce at RB. Expect the defense to contain them, but by the end Pierce will have 80 yards plus or minus 8, and a TD.
Special Teams
Both teams have electrifying return men that have the capability to go the distance, and Temple's return man in Matt Brown is actually averaging close to 21 yards per return. But the difference here will be Anthony Fera's ability to kick it out of the back of the end zone as he has already tallied 7 touch backs through three games. It will also be interesting to see how Devon Smith and Justin Brown fare against Temple's punt unit as they are only allowing 1.8 yards per return on the year. In the end, I see their punt unit wearing down and allowing for Smith or Brown to return a couple for at least 15+ yards. On the other side of the ball, I say Brown takes one out of their end for a good 30+ yards, but nothing more than a scare.
What to Look For:
- Bolden to have a better game and limit the interceptions and for the coaches to open it up for more than just the first quarter.
-Royster to hit the hole hard and early and show why he is still the feature back, but keep your expectations in check, as JoePa is still looking for him to get ready for Big Ten Play.
-Silas Redd to get his first TD of the season
- Penn State's defense records at least 3 sacks on the day
- Lynn to get his second interception of the season
- Pierce to make some good runs that strikes fear in the hearts of some PSU fans.
- The offense to try and get the run game going a little more as this is our last tune-up before Big Ten Play.
- Thomas and Morris to rotate a little more at the DB position as Morris is still rehabbing that foot injury from the Alabama game.
- Dailey to get some more playing time at the Hero spot, spelling Astorino as he nurses that sore shoulder.
- Al Golden to be wearing a shirt and tie and rumors have it that he might be rolling up his khakis for this one.
- This to be the only interesting game in the Big Ten this weekend.
-JoePa to get one win closer to 400 for his career.
Final Score
PSU 31- 13 Temple
WE ARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
There's a lot of talk surrounding this game, that this will be Al Golden's year to finally beat his Alma Mater and former coach. This will be the first time that Temple has defeated Penn State under a Joe Paterno coached team, moving the series to 26-1, in Penn State's favor. Bernard Pierce, Temple's All-MAC running-back will truly make a case for his chance at a Heisman run, and Adrian Robinson will wreak havoc all over our offensive line.
There's only one thing consistent about the above paragraph, that it is all talk. As for Temple, they have developed into a very respectable program under Al Golden, and yes this is his best team during his tenure. They are a very athletic team that is coming into this match-up 3-0, with nothing to lose and everything to gain. They have a great ground game on the offensive side of the ball and a very athletic defense that flies all over the field. Do they have a chance to pull the upset? Absolutely they do, but will they really beat Penn State this year?
I don't think so.
Make your case based on whatever hype articles you have read for this match-up, include the speculation, but when its all said and done they just don't match up well against this Penn State team. Yeah, they are 3-0 and coming into this match-up with a respectable team, but they really have not been as impressive as everyone makes them out to be. They beat Villanova (2009 FCS Champions) by a TD, Central Michigan by a FG, and their most impressive win was a 30-16 win over UConn.
Everyone is hyping Bernard Pierce, who had a very impressive freshman campaign rushing the ball, but he only has one 100+ yard game this season, which was against UConn. Their QB is a fantastic athlete, but he moves the ball down the field with a short passing game, with very minimal shots down the field, and lets his playmakers do the most of the work for him. Again, try not to put too much stock into the game against UConn because they were not who we thought they were.
As for the game itself and the match-ups, I'm going to just keep it simple and list the following:
PSU Passing Game vs. Temple Secondary
Temple has somewhat of an experienced secondary with only one underclassmen starting as a defensive back and Bolden lately has been trying to force some throws. This is where an X factor comes in, which is the size and experience of our receivers. If the game plan exposes these match-ups look for Bolden to throw for at least 200 yards again, but I wouldn't be surprised if there was a pick in there. In the end, Bolden throws for 250+ yards and 2 TDs.
PSU O-Line/RB vs. Temple Front Seven
Temple possesses a great pass rusher in Adrian Robinson, who will push Quinn Barham throughout the duration of the entire game. However, I would be very surprised to see us give up a sack to Temple throughout this game because other than Robinson, they have had trouble dialing up pressure against opposing QBs all year. I am also expecting a little more continuity on the O-Line on Penn State's behalf as Troutman has secured his spot at Left Guard. I also expect Royster to have somewhat of a breakout game, but I wouldn't be surprised if he didn't get more than ten carries. If that's the situation, try not to panic because JoePa rarely uses his feature backs til Big Ten Play. In the end, I'm going to say that Bolden gets some hurries, but no sacks and Royster has his first 100+ yard game of the year.
Temple Passing Attack vs. Penn State's secondary
While Penn State's secondary is very physical, I would expect Temple's short passing game to have some success moving the ball down the field against our defense. They like to find the soft spot in zones and we like to keep the receivers in front of us, which is a combination for success for the passing game. I still think that we have better athletes on this side of the ball and their QB has not been much of a threat throwing the ball, so I would expect at least one interception. In the end, I'm going to say that they have success in spurts moving the ball down the field, but never too much damage. By the game's end, I would expect our pass defense to improve by getting another pick and holding their passing game to sub 175 yards.
Temple's O-line/Ground Game vs. Penn State's Front Seven
Now this is the area that worries me a little bit. Temple has some size on the O-line as the smallest guy on their line checks in at 312. They also have a sound and physical running back in Bernard Pierce, and we all saw how much a physical ground game can affect our defense. In order for Penn State to win this match-up they are going to have to wrap up and prevent Pierce from churning out extra yards after contact. I do believe the experience and depth on our defensive will help throughout the game. In the end, I would expect most of Temple's damage to be done on the ground, as they have a very mobile QB and Pierce at RB. Expect the defense to contain them, but by the end Pierce will have 80 yards plus or minus 8, and a TD.
Special Teams
Both teams have electrifying return men that have the capability to go the distance, and Temple's return man in Matt Brown is actually averaging close to 21 yards per return. But the difference here will be Anthony Fera's ability to kick it out of the back of the end zone as he has already tallied 7 touch backs through three games. It will also be interesting to see how Devon Smith and Justin Brown fare against Temple's punt unit as they are only allowing 1.8 yards per return on the year. In the end, I see their punt unit wearing down and allowing for Smith or Brown to return a couple for at least 15+ yards. On the other side of the ball, I say Brown takes one out of their end for a good 30+ yards, but nothing more than a scare.
What to Look For:
- Bolden to have a better game and limit the interceptions and for the coaches to open it up for more than just the first quarter.
-Royster to hit the hole hard and early and show why he is still the feature back, but keep your expectations in check, as JoePa is still looking for him to get ready for Big Ten Play.
-Silas Redd to get his first TD of the season
- Penn State's defense records at least 3 sacks on the day
- Lynn to get his second interception of the season
- Pierce to make some good runs that strikes fear in the hearts of some PSU fans.
- The offense to try and get the run game going a little more as this is our last tune-up before Big Ten Play.
- Thomas and Morris to rotate a little more at the DB position as Morris is still rehabbing that foot injury from the Alabama game.
- Dailey to get some more playing time at the Hero spot, spelling Astorino as he nurses that sore shoulder.
- Al Golden to be wearing a shirt and tie and rumors have it that he might be rolling up his khakis for this one.
- This to be the only interesting game in the Big Ten this weekend.
-JoePa to get one win closer to 400 for his career.
Final Score
PSU 31- 13 Temple
WE ARE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Monday, September 20, 2010
Kent State Recap
Okay, here we go, I don't know how to say this, but I have to stop breaking down the game based on what we are capable of doing and start previewing the game as if I was JoePa. I have noticed that week in and week out I have been breaking down the games based on our capabilities, potential, and how we would play if I was the coach. The fact remains though that this is a Joe Paterno coached team, a team that tries to minimize risks by a coaching staff that loves to micromanage the game. I do not even need to go into any more depth on this notion, I think the breakdown of this past weekend's game is enough of a statement.
The Good:
It's pretty simple, we came out with a fire, an attitude, and a will to win this game. The defense starting us off with a much needed turnover, and it came on a great defensive play where Lynn masked his zone coverage as man to man coverage and made a great break on the ball. From that turnover, the offense came out firing, with Bolden throwing on first down, and Royster running with a purpose. The offense was moving the chains effortlessly, the play book had been opened up, and Bolden was making great decisions.
The first two drives were very exciting and we capped both of them off with rushing TDs from Bolden and Royster. The best play, however, had to be the 55 yard connection between Bolden and Moye as they capitalized on Kent State stuffing the box with eleven defenders. Moye simply blew past his man on single coverage and made a great play.
As for the defensive side of the ball, it seemed as if the defense was playing inspired football. They were getting to the quarterback, shutting down plays in the backfield, and caused two turnovers by the end of the first half. Massaro and Stanley looked great flying off the edges, and nothing is better than Still and Crawford getting on board with their first sacks of the season. Did anyone else notice the quality of play by RS Freshman cornerback Derrick Thomas? Talk about shutdown corner for years to come, I don't think that they'll be able to keep him off of the field for much longer.
The final thing that impressed me about this weekend was the fact that we posted a shutout. Yes it was against Kent State, but a shutout is a shutout. It means that the defense played with a purpose all game and worked hard through four quarters, does not mean that they played with motivation the whole game, but they still wanted that shutout. Anytime we can get a showing like that from the defense, I'll take it, and hopefully we can ride it into our next game and keep it going.
The Bad:
The first quarter came to a close at 14-0 and it seemed as if PSU was on its way to a route, so I'm going to go ahead and say that the final three quarters were the bad. I mean, there's not much you can say about the defense since they posted the shutout, but the fact is that they could have played with a little more emotion. I can understand losing a step after dominating the first quarter, but they should have wanted it the whole game. This defense could have easily gotten four more sacks and two more turnovers by the end of the game, but they played without inspiration and lack of a threat after the first quarter. Again, this doesn't mean that they did not execute, it just means that they under-performed by my standards.
The rest of the bad has to deal with the coaching staff and their attitude starting in the second quarter. The team was getting into a rhythm, dominating the line of scrimmage, running the ball well, and moving the chains. So what happened? JoePa and Company put the chains back on what seemed to be an offense that was just gaining some "swagger". They went back to the same old conservative play calling that has plagued Penn State teams over the past decade. With the exception of a couple plays in the second half, this offense was rather stagnant.
Did you notice that Kent State's defense had 10 men within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage on more than half of their plays in the second half? They were begging and daring Bolden to throw the ball down the field, and when he did it resulted in big plays: the 55 yard completion to Moye and the 48 yard TD pass to Smith in the second half. So why did they abandon this game plan and put Bolden in a position where he had to force the issue the rest of the game? Simple, because Joe Paterno and Company love control, and they don't realize that this is what kills their teams.
Also, why did they abandon the run game so quickly? Yeah, Royster fumbled at the start of the second half, but give him the ball and let him gain some consistency this year. They kept him out of Spring and Summer workouts, and now they are giving him an inconsistent workload and are questioning why he does not look the same. It is because they made another conservative decision to keep him from getting injured in the offseason, and now the poor guy is getting ridiculed in articles all over the country. Give him the ball, run him in practice, and let him gain some consistency with the O-line and he'll be the same Evan Royster from the past couple of years.
The Ugly:
- The play calling on offense after the first quarter.
- Bolden threw for two interceptions.
- Pannell's holding call in the fourth quarter that negated a beautiful TD catch by Brown in the end zone.
- Royster's fumble at the beginning of the second half.
- Astorino, formerly our best open field tackler, missing tackles left and right.
- The fact that we only scored 24 points.
WE ARE........................................
The Good:
It's pretty simple, we came out with a fire, an attitude, and a will to win this game. The defense starting us off with a much needed turnover, and it came on a great defensive play where Lynn masked his zone coverage as man to man coverage and made a great break on the ball. From that turnover, the offense came out firing, with Bolden throwing on first down, and Royster running with a purpose. The offense was moving the chains effortlessly, the play book had been opened up, and Bolden was making great decisions.
The first two drives were very exciting and we capped both of them off with rushing TDs from Bolden and Royster. The best play, however, had to be the 55 yard connection between Bolden and Moye as they capitalized on Kent State stuffing the box with eleven defenders. Moye simply blew past his man on single coverage and made a great play.
As for the defensive side of the ball, it seemed as if the defense was playing inspired football. They were getting to the quarterback, shutting down plays in the backfield, and caused two turnovers by the end of the first half. Massaro and Stanley looked great flying off the edges, and nothing is better than Still and Crawford getting on board with their first sacks of the season. Did anyone else notice the quality of play by RS Freshman cornerback Derrick Thomas? Talk about shutdown corner for years to come, I don't think that they'll be able to keep him off of the field for much longer.
The final thing that impressed me about this weekend was the fact that we posted a shutout. Yes it was against Kent State, but a shutout is a shutout. It means that the defense played with a purpose all game and worked hard through four quarters, does not mean that they played with motivation the whole game, but they still wanted that shutout. Anytime we can get a showing like that from the defense, I'll take it, and hopefully we can ride it into our next game and keep it going.
The Bad:
The first quarter came to a close at 14-0 and it seemed as if PSU was on its way to a route, so I'm going to go ahead and say that the final three quarters were the bad. I mean, there's not much you can say about the defense since they posted the shutout, but the fact is that they could have played with a little more emotion. I can understand losing a step after dominating the first quarter, but they should have wanted it the whole game. This defense could have easily gotten four more sacks and two more turnovers by the end of the game, but they played without inspiration and lack of a threat after the first quarter. Again, this doesn't mean that they did not execute, it just means that they under-performed by my standards.
The rest of the bad has to deal with the coaching staff and their attitude starting in the second quarter. The team was getting into a rhythm, dominating the line of scrimmage, running the ball well, and moving the chains. So what happened? JoePa and Company put the chains back on what seemed to be an offense that was just gaining some "swagger". They went back to the same old conservative play calling that has plagued Penn State teams over the past decade. With the exception of a couple plays in the second half, this offense was rather stagnant.
Did you notice that Kent State's defense had 10 men within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage on more than half of their plays in the second half? They were begging and daring Bolden to throw the ball down the field, and when he did it resulted in big plays: the 55 yard completion to Moye and the 48 yard TD pass to Smith in the second half. So why did they abandon this game plan and put Bolden in a position where he had to force the issue the rest of the game? Simple, because Joe Paterno and Company love control, and they don't realize that this is what kills their teams.
Also, why did they abandon the run game so quickly? Yeah, Royster fumbled at the start of the second half, but give him the ball and let him gain some consistency this year. They kept him out of Spring and Summer workouts, and now they are giving him an inconsistent workload and are questioning why he does not look the same. It is because they made another conservative decision to keep him from getting injured in the offseason, and now the poor guy is getting ridiculed in articles all over the country. Give him the ball, run him in practice, and let him gain some consistency with the O-line and he'll be the same Evan Royster from the past couple of years.
The Ugly:
- The play calling on offense after the first quarter.
- Bolden threw for two interceptions.
- Pannell's holding call in the fourth quarter that negated a beautiful TD catch by Brown in the end zone.
- Royster's fumble at the beginning of the second half.
- Astorino, formerly our best open field tackler, missing tackles left and right.
- The fact that we only scored 24 points.
WE ARE........................................
Saturday, September 18, 2010
Weekly Picks: Week 3
We've got a few games on the slate for this week, so let's go ahead and get started!
Game of the Week
9 Iowa vs. 24 Arizona
This is the only match-up of the week that includes two top 25 teams. It will be interesting because both teams are actually off to a fast start, which is rather unusual for both programs. Either way both programs are headed in the right direction. The teams are very similar as both teams possess a well-disciplined defense, but both have actually been showing consistency and command on offense. In the end, this will be a pivotal game for both teams as non-conference play is starting to wrap itself up.
Ali's Pick: I personally think that the pass rush of Iowa is going to be too much to handle for Arizona and Nick Foles is a very big target (6' 6") that can't be missed in the pocket. I also think the revamped run game of Iowa with a tandem of Jewel Hampton and Adam Robinson will wear that Arizona defense out and make this a quicker game than the Wildcats would like.
Iowa 31 -- 24 Arizona
Steve's Pick: While I hate Iowa, I can't deny the strength of their team this year. I have a funny feeling that they'll end the year playing in the Rose Bowl, finishing 2nd in the Big 10, while the Buckeyes trounce the Tide in Title Game. That being said, Arizona is a good team, and the Hawkeyes will be making a long trip. The length of the trip, and the home field advantage for the Wildcats will keep this game close, but Iowa will win it under the lights.
Iowa 23 -- 17 Arizona
Matt's Pick: Iowa will be too strong up front and I believe Ricky Stanzi has turned the corner on the interception bug. Combine that with the Iowa's running game and I think that spells bad news for Arizona. Arizona will keep it close at home for awhile, but Iowa will pull away in the 4th quarter.
Iowa 28 -- 14 Arizona
Most-Telling Games of the Week
12 Arkansas vs Georgia
Arkansas came into this season with a very potent passing attack and a Heisman hopeful in Ryan Mallett and Georgia started off the year in the Top 25. The fact is the Arkansas has yet to be tested while Georgia is coming off a very had fought battle with South Carolina. It will be interesting to see how each team handles the call this week as both teams look to get on a roll for conference play.
Ali's Pick: I personally think that Ryan Mallett is the real deal, and I saw him play when he was a true freshman at Michigan. A very fluid QB with a very strong arm, and I believe his time in this Arkansas offense has made him an even more efficient QB. In the end, I think this offense will prove to be too much for Georgia and Mallett will solidify himself a little more in Heisman talks early in the season.
Arkansas 34 - 17 Georgia
Steve's Pick: It doesn't matter that the Bulldogs are at home this game. The Razorbacks are in it to win it, and I'm taking Ryan Mallet's 6'6 frame and laser-rocket arm.
Arkansas 31 -- 21 Georgia
Matt's Pick I'm going with the upset in this one, Georgia has not started 0-2 under Mark Richt in the SEC. Arkansas's passing game will test the Georgia defense, but my gut tells me that Georgia knows they need to win the game or face a very long season.
Georgia 21--17 Arkansas
8 Nebraska vs. Washington
Another match-up containing an early season pick for the Heisman that pins Washington QB Jake Locker against one of the best defenses in the nation. This game is very important because it could make or break the season for either team. If Washington can pull the upset it will justify all the hoopla and excitement that Washington received in the off-season and positions them to make a great run at their first bowl game in years. If Nebraska loses, the Big 12 takes a big hit as Nebraska is one of the favorites to win their conference and the perception of league strength could shift again.
Ali's Pick: Washington is a very talented team with a lot of upside, but I do not think that this is the year they break out for a ten win season. While Washington has played higher quality opponents to open up the season, Nebraska has played less-talented programs to get ready for this one. Even though Nebraska is not as tested as UW, I do believe that their defense is legit as a majority of the scoring on them has occurred in the second half when the game was already in hand. Nebraska will show why they are a favorite to win the Big 12 and a dark horse to play for the National Championship this year.
Nebraska 28 - 10 Washington
Steve's Pick: Let's not forget that 2 seasons ago the Huskies lost every single game they played. Now, I believe that Jake Locker is a great Quarterback, but Nebraska will win this game big.
Nebraska 40 -- 13 Washington
Matt's Pick: This game will be close and I feel a shootout favors Washington with the more experienced quarterback. With that said, I do not feel this will be a shootout and Nebraska will hold on for the close win.
21 Nebraska -- 14 Washington
Teams on Upset Alert:
4 TCU vs. Baylor
TCU has positioned itself well to become the first Non-AQ (Automatic Qualifier) to contend for a National Championship by beginning the season with a convincing win over Oregon State, and can add to that argument with a win over a Big 12 team. Baylor, on the other hand, has been on the cusp of turning the corner the past couple of seasons, and I believe that they make some more strides this year. This will be interesting because TCU's offense is fueled by QB Andy Dalton, who makes things difficult for opponents with his decision making and mobility. I think this will be one of the biggest tests of the early season to see if either team can make a statement.
Ali's Pick: Here's the deal, TCU is a team that has a high powered offense that is fueled by the run. They like to win the battle in the trenches, ware a defense out, and play sound and disciplined defense. Here's the problem, Baylor possesses one of the best and most underrated defensive tackles in the country in Phil Taylor (6'4" 355 lbs) who is going to occupy two to three blockers at a time. This is going to free up other players on Baylor to make a play and shorten drives for TCU and Andy Dalton. I also believe that they lack the depth on defense to keep up with Baylor's offense and their mobile threat at QB. I see Baylor shocking everyone and coming out on top in this one.
Baylor 21 - 17 TCU
Steve's Pick: Disrespect for the Bullfrogs! Texas Christian has a great football team, and this Texan matchup will make for great football. Andy Dalton fuels an explosive offense, which will win a tight, hard fought game.
TCU 21 -- 20 Baylor
Matt's Pick: No upset here, TCU cruises
28 TCU -- Baylor 10
6 Texas vs. Texas Tech:
No matter what the stakes or when they play, this match-up will always be on upset alert. Texas wants to further position themselves as not only the top guns in the Big 12, but the top guns in the state of Texas, and it all starts with this match-up.Texas Tech finally has a coach as the same caliber of a Mack Brown and finally has an identity on the offense. They are no longer a system based team that only throws the ball, and they have developed that balance well by facing more competitive teams than Texas has to start off the season. Texas on the other hand, will have its third starting running back is as many games, and Garrett Gilbert is still adjusting to a starting role. It will be a fun one to watch tonight.
Ali's Pick: Texas Tech is breaking in a new offensive system and still searching for their identity on defense, but they definitely have a statement to make. I believe that Tuberville has been hyping this up even more especially because his lack of faith that the Big 12 will stick together and his natural disdain towards Texas for holding the conference together (for the time being). I know that he will do everything in his power to stick it to Texas in the Big 12. However, even though Texas is searching for continuity on offense and is in somewhat of a rebuilding mode, I do think that they will come out on top this weekend. I believe this one will have a little more firepower than some of the match-ups in the past and Texas wins its third game of the season.
Texas 27 - 24 Texas Tech
Steve's Pick: Tommy Tubs is a great coach. It's his birthday and the Red Raiders are at home. Texas has shown glaring weaknesses thus far, and though I love the Longhorns, I have to go with the Red Raiders. This will be the most fun game to watch tonight in a shootout.
Texas Tech 34 -- 31 Texas
Matt's Pick: Mack Brown is 3-3 in Lubbock against Texas Tech. I think Tommy Tubs keep it close for awhile but Texas will finally get it's offense going in the 2nd half.
Texas 31--21 Texas Tech
WE ARE..............................................
Let us know what you think in the comments section, and don't be afraid to post some of your own picks!
Game of the Week
9 Iowa vs. 24 Arizona
This is the only match-up of the week that includes two top 25 teams. It will be interesting because both teams are actually off to a fast start, which is rather unusual for both programs. Either way both programs are headed in the right direction. The teams are very similar as both teams possess a well-disciplined defense, but both have actually been showing consistency and command on offense. In the end, this will be a pivotal game for both teams as non-conference play is starting to wrap itself up.
Ali's Pick: I personally think that the pass rush of Iowa is going to be too much to handle for Arizona and Nick Foles is a very big target (6' 6") that can't be missed in the pocket. I also think the revamped run game of Iowa with a tandem of Jewel Hampton and Adam Robinson will wear that Arizona defense out and make this a quicker game than the Wildcats would like.
Iowa 31 -- 24 Arizona
Steve's Pick: While I hate Iowa, I can't deny the strength of their team this year. I have a funny feeling that they'll end the year playing in the Rose Bowl, finishing 2nd in the Big 10, while the Buckeyes trounce the Tide in Title Game. That being said, Arizona is a good team, and the Hawkeyes will be making a long trip. The length of the trip, and the home field advantage for the Wildcats will keep this game close, but Iowa will win it under the lights.
Iowa 23 -- 17 Arizona
Matt's Pick: Iowa will be too strong up front and I believe Ricky Stanzi has turned the corner on the interception bug. Combine that with the Iowa's running game and I think that spells bad news for Arizona. Arizona will keep it close at home for awhile, but Iowa will pull away in the 4th quarter.
Iowa 28 -- 14 Arizona
Most-Telling Games of the Week
12 Arkansas vs Georgia
Arkansas came into this season with a very potent passing attack and a Heisman hopeful in Ryan Mallett and Georgia started off the year in the Top 25. The fact is the Arkansas has yet to be tested while Georgia is coming off a very had fought battle with South Carolina. It will be interesting to see how each team handles the call this week as both teams look to get on a roll for conference play.
Ali's Pick: I personally think that Ryan Mallett is the real deal, and I saw him play when he was a true freshman at Michigan. A very fluid QB with a very strong arm, and I believe his time in this Arkansas offense has made him an even more efficient QB. In the end, I think this offense will prove to be too much for Georgia and Mallett will solidify himself a little more in Heisman talks early in the season.
Arkansas 34 - 17 Georgia
Steve's Pick: It doesn't matter that the Bulldogs are at home this game. The Razorbacks are in it to win it, and I'm taking Ryan Mallet's 6'6 frame and laser-rocket arm.
Arkansas 31 -- 21 Georgia
Matt's Pick I'm going with the upset in this one, Georgia has not started 0-2 under Mark Richt in the SEC. Arkansas's passing game will test the Georgia defense, but my gut tells me that Georgia knows they need to win the game or face a very long season.
Georgia 21--17 Arkansas
8 Nebraska vs. Washington
Another match-up containing an early season pick for the Heisman that pins Washington QB Jake Locker against one of the best defenses in the nation. This game is very important because it could make or break the season for either team. If Washington can pull the upset it will justify all the hoopla and excitement that Washington received in the off-season and positions them to make a great run at their first bowl game in years. If Nebraska loses, the Big 12 takes a big hit as Nebraska is one of the favorites to win their conference and the perception of league strength could shift again.
Ali's Pick: Washington is a very talented team with a lot of upside, but I do not think that this is the year they break out for a ten win season. While Washington has played higher quality opponents to open up the season, Nebraska has played less-talented programs to get ready for this one. Even though Nebraska is not as tested as UW, I do believe that their defense is legit as a majority of the scoring on them has occurred in the second half when the game was already in hand. Nebraska will show why they are a favorite to win the Big 12 and a dark horse to play for the National Championship this year.
Nebraska 28 - 10 Washington
Steve's Pick: Let's not forget that 2 seasons ago the Huskies lost every single game they played. Now, I believe that Jake Locker is a great Quarterback, but Nebraska will win this game big.
Nebraska 40 -- 13 Washington
Matt's Pick: This game will be close and I feel a shootout favors Washington with the more experienced quarterback. With that said, I do not feel this will be a shootout and Nebraska will hold on for the close win.
21 Nebraska -- 14 Washington
Teams on Upset Alert:
4 TCU vs. Baylor
TCU has positioned itself well to become the first Non-AQ (Automatic Qualifier) to contend for a National Championship by beginning the season with a convincing win over Oregon State, and can add to that argument with a win over a Big 12 team. Baylor, on the other hand, has been on the cusp of turning the corner the past couple of seasons, and I believe that they make some more strides this year. This will be interesting because TCU's offense is fueled by QB Andy Dalton, who makes things difficult for opponents with his decision making and mobility. I think this will be one of the biggest tests of the early season to see if either team can make a statement.
Ali's Pick: Here's the deal, TCU is a team that has a high powered offense that is fueled by the run. They like to win the battle in the trenches, ware a defense out, and play sound and disciplined defense. Here's the problem, Baylor possesses one of the best and most underrated defensive tackles in the country in Phil Taylor (6'4" 355 lbs) who is going to occupy two to three blockers at a time. This is going to free up other players on Baylor to make a play and shorten drives for TCU and Andy Dalton. I also believe that they lack the depth on defense to keep up with Baylor's offense and their mobile threat at QB. I see Baylor shocking everyone and coming out on top in this one.
Baylor 21 - 17 TCU
Steve's Pick: Disrespect for the Bullfrogs! Texas Christian has a great football team, and this Texan matchup will make for great football. Andy Dalton fuels an explosive offense, which will win a tight, hard fought game.
TCU 21 -- 20 Baylor
Matt's Pick: No upset here, TCU cruises
28 TCU -- Baylor 10
6 Texas vs. Texas Tech:
No matter what the stakes or when they play, this match-up will always be on upset alert. Texas wants to further position themselves as not only the top guns in the Big 12, but the top guns in the state of Texas, and it all starts with this match-up.Texas Tech finally has a coach as the same caliber of a Mack Brown and finally has an identity on the offense. They are no longer a system based team that only throws the ball, and they have developed that balance well by facing more competitive teams than Texas has to start off the season. Texas on the other hand, will have its third starting running back is as many games, and Garrett Gilbert is still adjusting to a starting role. It will be a fun one to watch tonight.
Ali's Pick: Texas Tech is breaking in a new offensive system and still searching for their identity on defense, but they definitely have a statement to make. I believe that Tuberville has been hyping this up even more especially because his lack of faith that the Big 12 will stick together and his natural disdain towards Texas for holding the conference together (for the time being). I know that he will do everything in his power to stick it to Texas in the Big 12. However, even though Texas is searching for continuity on offense and is in somewhat of a rebuilding mode, I do think that they will come out on top this weekend. I believe this one will have a little more firepower than some of the match-ups in the past and Texas wins its third game of the season.
Texas 27 - 24 Texas Tech
Steve's Pick: Tommy Tubs is a great coach. It's his birthday and the Red Raiders are at home. Texas has shown glaring weaknesses thus far, and though I love the Longhorns, I have to go with the Red Raiders. This will be the most fun game to watch tonight in a shootout.
Texas Tech 34 -- 31 Texas
Matt's Pick: Mack Brown is 3-3 in Lubbock against Texas Tech. I think Tommy Tubs keep it close for awhile but Texas will finally get it's offense going in the 2nd half.
Texas 31--21 Texas Tech
WE ARE..............................................
Let us know what you think in the comments section, and don't be afraid to post some of your own picks!
Friday, September 17, 2010
The Debate
The age old question of whether to support conference teams?
Long ago I had a discussion/argument with a fellow PSU fan about whether or not to root for other conference teams during out of conference play/bowl season. Now to set up the scene, you have me who has lived most of my adult life with PSU being a member of the big ten (I’m 27), and you have my buddy who is 40, that remembers the days when PSU played Pitt and Alabama on a regular schedule and was independent. It was a few years ago during the Florida vs. Michigan bowl game, we got into a discussion about the game and who we thought would win. I remember saying “I think Florida will win but I’ll be rooting for Michigan”. My buddy looked at me in disbelief. He said “How in the he#$ are you rooting for those Michigan scum.” My buddy was a diehard PSU fan and could not stomach rooting for any other big ten team. Now I agree it pains me to see Ohio State and Michigan win big games but I’m here to persuade fans that rooting for them (out of conference) has to be done. Here are some reasons why…
1. We live in a college football world with no playoff, which means that rankings and champions are still somewhat based on opinion. If you disagree, ask Boise State how important perception is to your chance at playing for a national title. The BCS era has created an environment in which the perception of the strength of your conference affects you chances of climbing in the polls or possibly playing for it all. If you read the college football message boards you will be hard pressed to find threads where actual football talk is occurring. Threads are filled with pointless banter about which conference is better or why the SEC is or is not the best conference. Use the big east this year as an example and ask yourself if an undefeated big east team deserves to be in the national championship. If you’re a Pitt fan you can’t be happy that WVU almost lost to Marshal or that UCONN got dominated by a Michigan team that was supposed to be rebuilding.
Ohio State did its job in beating Miami which now will lend instant creditability to any big ten team that beats Ohio State.
2. Bowl Record = public onion
A good bowl record from your conference will lead to instant creditability to every team in that conference the following year.
In conclusion, I know it’s tough to root on some of our hated rivals but you have to look at the bigger picture. Even if Penn State went 12-0 in 2005 it would have not made the national championship over Texas and USC based on the perceived weakness of the Big Ten. So this weekend cheer on the following big 10 teams in their import OCC games. Three Big Ten-Pac-10 games are on the slate, as No. 18 USC visits Minnesota (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET), Arizona State visits Wisconsin (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET) and No. 9 Iowa visits No. 24 Arizona (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET). As well as the Michigan State vs. Notre Dame game. I would love thoughts on the comment section about this.
WE ARE……………….
Long ago I had a discussion/argument with a fellow PSU fan about whether or not to root for other conference teams during out of conference play/bowl season. Now to set up the scene, you have me who has lived most of my adult life with PSU being a member of the big ten (I’m 27), and you have my buddy who is 40, that remembers the days when PSU played Pitt and Alabama on a regular schedule and was independent. It was a few years ago during the Florida vs. Michigan bowl game, we got into a discussion about the game and who we thought would win. I remember saying “I think Florida will win but I’ll be rooting for Michigan”. My buddy looked at me in disbelief. He said “How in the he#$ are you rooting for those Michigan scum.” My buddy was a diehard PSU fan and could not stomach rooting for any other big ten team. Now I agree it pains me to see Ohio State and Michigan win big games but I’m here to persuade fans that rooting for them (out of conference) has to be done. Here are some reasons why…
1. We live in a college football world with no playoff, which means that rankings and champions are still somewhat based on opinion. If you disagree, ask Boise State how important perception is to your chance at playing for a national title. The BCS era has created an environment in which the perception of the strength of your conference affects you chances of climbing in the polls or possibly playing for it all. If you read the college football message boards you will be hard pressed to find threads where actual football talk is occurring. Threads are filled with pointless banter about which conference is better or why the SEC is or is not the best conference. Use the big east this year as an example and ask yourself if an undefeated big east team deserves to be in the national championship. If you’re a Pitt fan you can’t be happy that WVU almost lost to Marshal or that UCONN got dominated by a Michigan team that was supposed to be rebuilding.
Ohio State did its job in beating Miami which now will lend instant creditability to any big ten team that beats Ohio State.
2. Bowl Record = public onion
A good bowl record from your conference will lead to instant creditability to every team in that conference the following year.
In conclusion, I know it’s tough to root on some of our hated rivals but you have to look at the bigger picture. Even if Penn State went 12-0 in 2005 it would have not made the national championship over Texas and USC based on the perceived weakness of the Big Ten. So this weekend cheer on the following big 10 teams in their import OCC games. Three Big Ten-Pac-10 games are on the slate, as No. 18 USC visits Minnesota (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET), Arizona State visits Wisconsin (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET) and No. 9 Iowa visits No. 24 Arizona (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET). As well as the Michigan State vs. Notre Dame game. I would love thoughts on the comment section about this.
WE ARE……………….
Kent State Preview
Now that the Tide has passed (I know....I went there), I find that the only thing on my mind is Big Ten play. I cannot wait for that first weekend of when we get into league games and we get to see how we measure up in our own conference. I know we're still a couple of weeks away, but it's a natural tendency to look forward to Iowa over a game versus Kent State. I just hope the team doesn't have the same problem that I do and is focusing their energy against this weekend's match-up against the Golden Flashes.
I know there is not much to get excited about this weekend with a pending match-up against Kent State, especially after facing the number one team in Alabama, but there might be a few surprises in store for Penn State fans. Kent State is not your average MAC team, and is actually heavily favored to win the conference this year. With a young and athletic team, look for Kent State to try and make a statement against this young, Nittany Lions team.
Historically, the program has had its share of notable players and alumni affecting the world of professional and college football these days. Don't be too shocked that Kent State has produced the likes of All-Pro NFL players Antonio Gates, James Harrison, Jack Lambert, and Josh Cribbs. Other notable NFL talent include Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman, Saints Safety Usama Young, enough difference makers that any coach would like to have on their team. The greatest oxymoron of all is that present day college football's AntiChrist in Nick Saban, and former college football's saving grace in Lou Holtz are both alumni of Kent State as well. Talk about covering the extremes in the sports today, either way, I can never understand a word they say.
With all the hoopla and history out of the way, what should we expect out of this Kent State team this weekend? This is where it gets a little tricky because Kent State is fast, well coached, and has some talent that matches up with Penn State's roster (as you saw some of the NFL talent they've churned out in recent years), but overall they definitely will not match up against this Penn State team.
With a simple breakdown of the match-up this weekend, I would expect Kent State to have some success on offense against our team this weekend. They have a great QB in Spencer Keith, who throws an excellent ball, makes great reads, and evades the pass rush really well. This is a match-up that's favorable against our pass defense, which likes to keep everything in front with a bend but don't break style. However, the Golden flashes lack any semblance of a ground attack, other than their QB that can extend the play with his legs. All in all, I would expect them to put a few drives together, but it will end in minimal success.
This is a good sign for Penn State for two reasons: it allows the pass rush to develop throughout the game and gives our corners some much needed experience. With the offensive mindset of the Golden Flashes, the defensive line can gain some momentum and get into a rhythm going after this QB. Eventually throughout the game, their athleticism will wear on the offensive line and they will start getting to the QB more and more often as the game stretches on. In the end, it will lead to some sacks, hurries, and quick decisions by Keith, which is great because this will give our secondary the opportunities it needs to make some plays. What I'm saying is that the first turnover caused by the defense will occur this weekend. Look for Keith to throw two interceptions and at least two fumbles caused by a team that is hungry for turnovers.
As for the offense, JoePa and the coaches are going to take advantage of this game. I expect them to take the reins off a little bit after some of the glimpses they saw during the Alabama game and let the young gun take some chances. It will be great because we'll have plenty of clock to work with since Kent State runs a pass happy offense (in lam ens terms, they will not use much game clock due to dropped passes, turnovers, etc.) and will give us time to work on the running game. Look for the offensive line to form even more chemistry as Troutman has been named the official starter at left guard for the remainder of the season. Look for them to open up more lanes as Royster looks to get on track towards the career rushing record at Penn State.
Granted you will hear and read in many articles that Kent State has the number one rush defense in the country, just allowing 11 yards per game (skewed because they sacked pass happy Murray State's QB 8 times for -65 yards, while Montel Harris of BC ran for 89 yards on them). This statistic is a little skewed and played up because these beat writers love to feed off of a reader's panic-first mindset. Don't get me wrong, they have underrated speed on the defense, and a future NFL linebacker in Cobrani Mixon (who is a hand full), but if you stop him and play to your assignments, the ground game should have a big day. Also, we will have a big ground game performance simply because we want to, Penn State wants to get the ground game going, and wants to start forming that chemistry while they're warming up for Big Ten play. It's a little easier to do with that monkey off of our back from week 2.
What I'm most excited for is that Bolden showed the coaches something in Alabama. He showed them that he could handle the big game and handled himself well. Yes, he made some freshman mistakes, but it was because he was put in a position that did not allow him to take a crack at the big play. I think the coaches noticed that they positioned their young QB in position for failure last week and they will rectify that mistake this week by allowing him to take some shots down field. This will also be important because it will allow them to open up the playbook a little more and get the offense into more of a rhythm. Some things the coaches neglected to do against YSU because they did not want to reveal anything for the Bama game. This was an even bigger mistake because their lack of opening it up against YSU forced them to try and play an even more conservative game plan against Bama. In other words, the coaches cancerous mindset and approach to the game will change this week because Bolden took hold of the QB job last week.
In the end, it will be an up and down game for Penn State, but mostly up. I would expect to see some bumps during this game, as they are trying to open it up and get ready for Big Ten play, but I wouldn't worry much about any of the mistakes from this game. Bolden will definitely form some chemistry with his receivers down field and maybe even convince the coaches to let him run some of the designed run plays. The defense will also look to form an identity, play with some attitude, and get rid of that soft label they earned last week against Alabama. Look for some big hits, better team tackling, and swagger from these guys. When it's all said and done, we are all going to be feeling a little bit better about Penn State football.
Final Score-- Penn State 42---17 Kent State
What to look for:
- Royster to find some running room and for him to run with an attitude. Look for him to rack up some yards, but don't be surprised and calling for Silas Redd when the coaches only give him 16 carries. He has looked sloppy, but it's not his fault that the coaches have not given him some time to get into a rhythm.
-Off of that, look for the O-line to form some cohesion as they have settled on a starting unit. They are definitely going to try to get the run going even more this week. But I wouldn't be surprised for the team to be focused on the passing attack.
-Look for Bolden to throw for over 250 yards and a 65% completion rate. Bolden accounts for 4 touchdowns this Saturday, with 3 coming in the air, and him showing some hunger and taking one in on the ground. (which will be much against JoePa's chagrin)
-The defense forces a minimum of four turnovers, with at least two coming in the air as the secondary starts playing more aggressively. One will be the result of a fumble forced by a sack, and who knows where the last one comes from, but I have a hunch it will be on a special teams play.
- Moye to have a big day receiving and Zug to get some more looks across the field.
- Devon Smith finally explodes as a firecracker and scores on an electrifying play.
-Everyone wonders who the heck Cobrani Mixon is and why he is involved in every defensive play made by the Golden flashes. (Dude is averaging 16 tackles a game)
- Watch for Khairi Fortt to get more playing time (#11) as he is replacing Gerald Hodges on the depth chart. Look for him to get his name out a little bit, as he's earned a spot in Vandy's coveted LB rotation as a true freshman. He's something really special if he's playing this early, last freshman to step into the 6 man deep rotation with valuable playing time: Sean Lee (game in which touches increased, 2006 Orange Bowl).
Enjoy the game this weekend, you can find coverage on PSU sports radio and surprisingly enough, this game will be broadcast on ESPN 2 this weekend: Kickoff time 12:00 pm.
WE ARE.........................
Up Next: Weekly Picks and Upset Specials for Week 3
I know there is not much to get excited about this weekend with a pending match-up against Kent State, especially after facing the number one team in Alabama, but there might be a few surprises in store for Penn State fans. Kent State is not your average MAC team, and is actually heavily favored to win the conference this year. With a young and athletic team, look for Kent State to try and make a statement against this young, Nittany Lions team.
Historically, the program has had its share of notable players and alumni affecting the world of professional and college football these days. Don't be too shocked that Kent State has produced the likes of All-Pro NFL players Antonio Gates, James Harrison, Jack Lambert, and Josh Cribbs. Other notable NFL talent include Patriots wide receiver Julian Edelman, Saints Safety Usama Young, enough difference makers that any coach would like to have on their team. The greatest oxymoron of all is that present day college football's AntiChrist in Nick Saban, and former college football's saving grace in Lou Holtz are both alumni of Kent State as well. Talk about covering the extremes in the sports today, either way, I can never understand a word they say.
With all the hoopla and history out of the way, what should we expect out of this Kent State team this weekend? This is where it gets a little tricky because Kent State is fast, well coached, and has some talent that matches up with Penn State's roster (as you saw some of the NFL talent they've churned out in recent years), but overall they definitely will not match up against this Penn State team.
With a simple breakdown of the match-up this weekend, I would expect Kent State to have some success on offense against our team this weekend. They have a great QB in Spencer Keith, who throws an excellent ball, makes great reads, and evades the pass rush really well. This is a match-up that's favorable against our pass defense, which likes to keep everything in front with a bend but don't break style. However, the Golden flashes lack any semblance of a ground attack, other than their QB that can extend the play with his legs. All in all, I would expect them to put a few drives together, but it will end in minimal success.
This is a good sign for Penn State for two reasons: it allows the pass rush to develop throughout the game and gives our corners some much needed experience. With the offensive mindset of the Golden Flashes, the defensive line can gain some momentum and get into a rhythm going after this QB. Eventually throughout the game, their athleticism will wear on the offensive line and they will start getting to the QB more and more often as the game stretches on. In the end, it will lead to some sacks, hurries, and quick decisions by Keith, which is great because this will give our secondary the opportunities it needs to make some plays. What I'm saying is that the first turnover caused by the defense will occur this weekend. Look for Keith to throw two interceptions and at least two fumbles caused by a team that is hungry for turnovers.
As for the offense, JoePa and the coaches are going to take advantage of this game. I expect them to take the reins off a little bit after some of the glimpses they saw during the Alabama game and let the young gun take some chances. It will be great because we'll have plenty of clock to work with since Kent State runs a pass happy offense (in lam ens terms, they will not use much game clock due to dropped passes, turnovers, etc.) and will give us time to work on the running game. Look for the offensive line to form even more chemistry as Troutman has been named the official starter at left guard for the remainder of the season. Look for them to open up more lanes as Royster looks to get on track towards the career rushing record at Penn State.
Granted you will hear and read in many articles that Kent State has the number one rush defense in the country, just allowing 11 yards per game (skewed because they sacked pass happy Murray State's QB 8 times for -65 yards, while Montel Harris of BC ran for 89 yards on them). This statistic is a little skewed and played up because these beat writers love to feed off of a reader's panic-first mindset. Don't get me wrong, they have underrated speed on the defense, and a future NFL linebacker in Cobrani Mixon (who is a hand full), but if you stop him and play to your assignments, the ground game should have a big day. Also, we will have a big ground game performance simply because we want to, Penn State wants to get the ground game going, and wants to start forming that chemistry while they're warming up for Big Ten play. It's a little easier to do with that monkey off of our back from week 2.
What I'm most excited for is that Bolden showed the coaches something in Alabama. He showed them that he could handle the big game and handled himself well. Yes, he made some freshman mistakes, but it was because he was put in a position that did not allow him to take a crack at the big play. I think the coaches noticed that they positioned their young QB in position for failure last week and they will rectify that mistake this week by allowing him to take some shots down field. This will also be important because it will allow them to open up the playbook a little more and get the offense into more of a rhythm. Some things the coaches neglected to do against YSU because they did not want to reveal anything for the Bama game. This was an even bigger mistake because their lack of opening it up against YSU forced them to try and play an even more conservative game plan against Bama. In other words, the coaches cancerous mindset and approach to the game will change this week because Bolden took hold of the QB job last week.
In the end, it will be an up and down game for Penn State, but mostly up. I would expect to see some bumps during this game, as they are trying to open it up and get ready for Big Ten play, but I wouldn't worry much about any of the mistakes from this game. Bolden will definitely form some chemistry with his receivers down field and maybe even convince the coaches to let him run some of the designed run plays. The defense will also look to form an identity, play with some attitude, and get rid of that soft label they earned last week against Alabama. Look for some big hits, better team tackling, and swagger from these guys. When it's all said and done, we are all going to be feeling a little bit better about Penn State football.
Final Score-- Penn State 42---17 Kent State
What to look for:
- Royster to find some running room and for him to run with an attitude. Look for him to rack up some yards, but don't be surprised and calling for Silas Redd when the coaches only give him 16 carries. He has looked sloppy, but it's not his fault that the coaches have not given him some time to get into a rhythm.
-Off of that, look for the O-line to form some cohesion as they have settled on a starting unit. They are definitely going to try to get the run going even more this week. But I wouldn't be surprised for the team to be focused on the passing attack.
-Look for Bolden to throw for over 250 yards and a 65% completion rate. Bolden accounts for 4 touchdowns this Saturday, with 3 coming in the air, and him showing some hunger and taking one in on the ground. (which will be much against JoePa's chagrin)
-The defense forces a minimum of four turnovers, with at least two coming in the air as the secondary starts playing more aggressively. One will be the result of a fumble forced by a sack, and who knows where the last one comes from, but I have a hunch it will be on a special teams play.
- Moye to have a big day receiving and Zug to get some more looks across the field.
- Devon Smith finally explodes as a firecracker and scores on an electrifying play.
-Everyone wonders who the heck Cobrani Mixon is and why he is involved in every defensive play made by the Golden flashes. (Dude is averaging 16 tackles a game)
- Watch for Khairi Fortt to get more playing time (#11) as he is replacing Gerald Hodges on the depth chart. Look for him to get his name out a little bit, as he's earned a spot in Vandy's coveted LB rotation as a true freshman. He's something really special if he's playing this early, last freshman to step into the 6 man deep rotation with valuable playing time: Sean Lee (game in which touches increased, 2006 Orange Bowl).
Enjoy the game this weekend, you can find coverage on PSU sports radio and surprisingly enough, this game will be broadcast on ESPN 2 this weekend: Kickoff time 12:00 pm.
WE ARE.........................
Up Next: Weekly Picks and Upset Specials for Week 3
Thursday, September 16, 2010
The Tide Rolls On. Pt.2
Matt S. here joining the blog for the first time and I'm honored that Ali asked me to be apart of it. I can't promise good writing or good humor, but I can promise to give my thoughts and opinions from the perspective of a life long nittany lion fan that will add a different perspective to the blog.
God's sport....I love that phrase when talking about college football. It is a phrase I constantly hear Bill King of rivals radio use. I Found myself thinking that phrase last Saturday because of all the marquee matchups that were taking place. I found myself at a place that would totally rock college football that day. I was in the pouring rain in Blacksburg, VA. I was about to witness James Madison (I-AA)(FCS) take down the #13 team in the nation Virginia Tech. That game showed that less talent could win with the right game plan and attitude. As the game ended, I remembered thinking that if JMU could knock off Virginia Tech then Penn State winning was not as far fetched an idea as everyone thought.
Unfortunately for Penn State that was not the case. The talent level on the field was closer then Alabama fans would admit. The game plan and execution exposed glaring weaknesses in the coaching staff. As the game ended, I felt that same feeling of disappointment that all nittany lion fans have felt over the last couple years in big games. I can't help feeling that in every big game PSU seems to be out coached. The games Penn State win are the ones we have far superior athletes on the field. The coaching staff creates game plans that are so conservative that it doesn't give our athletes a chance to make plays. Mike Tyson once said he could tell he was going to win before the fight even started by the look of fear in his opponents eyes. I could not help but feel that Alabama could see the fear in PSU coaching staff's eyes.
With that said here are some observations from the game
-I understand Trent Richardson bench presses 465 lbs..but it still should not take 5 guys to tackle 1 player. What happend to tackling technique that PSU is so known for?
-Evan Royster looked like the 4th best running back on the field saturday behind Trent R. , Green, and Silas Redd.... Evan needs to get his act together or take a seat on the bench.
-The Offensive line should be better then it is.
-Bolden looks great and will be fine.
-Special teams is 100% improved from last year.
-When is Penn State going to put an actual athlete at safety? Astorino was scared to hit anyone and Sukay was out of position atleast 4 times.
-Zug had another big drop... I think its time for Justin Brown to start!!
-Where is the dominant defensive line that we are suppose to have.... the DE's have generated zero pressure in the first two games.
-Gerald Hodges injury really hurt the defense because of his skill at defending on plass plays.
Just some observations.....hopefully PSU gets it together for Big 10 play
WE ARE......................
God's sport....I love that phrase when talking about college football. It is a phrase I constantly hear Bill King of rivals radio use. I Found myself thinking that phrase last Saturday because of all the marquee matchups that were taking place. I found myself at a place that would totally rock college football that day. I was in the pouring rain in Blacksburg, VA. I was about to witness James Madison (I-AA)(FCS) take down the #13 team in the nation Virginia Tech. That game showed that less talent could win with the right game plan and attitude. As the game ended, I remembered thinking that if JMU could knock off Virginia Tech then Penn State winning was not as far fetched an idea as everyone thought.
Unfortunately for Penn State that was not the case. The talent level on the field was closer then Alabama fans would admit. The game plan and execution exposed glaring weaknesses in the coaching staff. As the game ended, I felt that same feeling of disappointment that all nittany lion fans have felt over the last couple years in big games. I can't help feeling that in every big game PSU seems to be out coached. The games Penn State win are the ones we have far superior athletes on the field. The coaching staff creates game plans that are so conservative that it doesn't give our athletes a chance to make plays. Mike Tyson once said he could tell he was going to win before the fight even started by the look of fear in his opponents eyes. I could not help but feel that Alabama could see the fear in PSU coaching staff's eyes.
With that said here are some observations from the game
-I understand Trent Richardson bench presses 465 lbs..but it still should not take 5 guys to tackle 1 player. What happend to tackling technique that PSU is so known for?
-Evan Royster looked like the 4th best running back on the field saturday behind Trent R. , Green, and Silas Redd.... Evan needs to get his act together or take a seat on the bench.
-The Offensive line should be better then it is.
-Bolden looks great and will be fine.
-Special teams is 100% improved from last year.
-When is Penn State going to put an actual athlete at safety? Astorino was scared to hit anyone and Sukay was out of position atleast 4 times.
-Zug had another big drop... I think its time for Justin Brown to start!!
-Where is the dominant defensive line that we are suppose to have.... the DE's have generated zero pressure in the first two games.
-Gerald Hodges injury really hurt the defense because of his skill at defending on plass plays.
Just some observations.....hopefully PSU gets it together for Big 10 play
WE ARE......................
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
Onward State
I'll always remember the Bleachers being cold.
I'm not entirely sure why Ali asked me to write a guest spot on what is an already brilliant blog. I don't do much research on college football, and the snippets that I do bring up in conversation are often things I am repeating from his articles, as though I am clinging to stale bits of information like some Tom Buchanan.
I suppose there is only one reason he would ask me to write an article every now and then; he was tired of writing so often, and wanted someone to help him when he didn't feel like it. And so that's where I come in. I'm not nearly the sports expert that Ali is, and I never receive inside information; but I suppose I can piece together a few sentences about college football every now and then.
I remember the little things about college football games more than the big ones. I can remember the feel of the cold metal bleachers, in November 1999, when a fourth down play against Minnesota cost us a shot at a classic National Championship match-up against Bobby Bowden. I can remember everyone standing in the stadium too shell-shocked to leave afterwards.
I can remember sitting in my cold apartment during my senior year (we were too poor to turn the heat on), as the fire burned in the fire place, when an Iowa kicker punched me in the gut with a kick through the uprights. But I don't know much about the big things. I couldn't espouse theories on cover two's and which downs are most appropriate for screen passes (though, honestly Joe, second down every time made it kind of obvious).
But I can tell you a little something about the memories I have made while watching Penn State Football for the last two decades or so. I can tell you that Rob Bolden will be the greatest passer in the history of Penn State, as long as he doesn't get hurt, and we don't get those Philly people, like me, riding him all the time for a mediocre game against the best team in the country. I can tell you that Evan Royster will still run for 1000 yards this year, because Joe never makes his star Tail Backs run 25 times a game until Big Ten Season comes in full swing. I can tell you that this team will finish the season ranked, playing either a Big 12 opponent in San Antonio, or an SEC Team in Tampa. I can tell you this, because my memories and knowledge of Penn State Football tell me that this is the standard, and it's rare indeed when the standard isn't met.
I can also tell you that I know that the loss to Alabama didn't feel a thing like those other two losses I mentioned, and that's not because I don't care as much. It's because, when I watched this game, I watched the better team win. I don't mean that as a hater. I mean that as an honest assessment. Shoot, their second best running back would run for 2000 yards this year if he played for us. McElroy doesn't really do anything for me, but it's that fierce will to win that sets him apart as a player. And frankly, Nick Saban does such a good job getting his teams ready for football games that I'm amazed. Even if I still think he spells his surname incorrectly.
I love football, and I love this time of year, and I think the bulk of the team that lost last Saturday night will lead us through a season that steals our breath and whisks our imagination away on a magic carpet ride; but it won't be this year, I'm afraid. But isn't that what makes those great seasons so great? Watching, waiting and anticipating? So, let's not consider that loss to Alabama, a speed bump, but rather as a growing experience. It is one that we can look back on as the maturation point for so much of that team, like Stupar, Bolden, and that Tail Back who looks awesome.
But for now, dear friends, read these sentences with a grain of salt. And please forgive Ali for allowing me to write on his sacred and brilliant blog. And please remember this blog, when a 6'4, 20 year old with every Penn State Passing record, picks up a Crystal Football on the second Monday of January 2013.
I remember the cold bleachers, and the people standing there in shock. But onward State, and make us proud.
WE ARE...
PENN STATE!
I'm not entirely sure why Ali asked me to write a guest spot on what is an already brilliant blog. I don't do much research on college football, and the snippets that I do bring up in conversation are often things I am repeating from his articles, as though I am clinging to stale bits of information like some Tom Buchanan.
I suppose there is only one reason he would ask me to write an article every now and then; he was tired of writing so often, and wanted someone to help him when he didn't feel like it. And so that's where I come in. I'm not nearly the sports expert that Ali is, and I never receive inside information; but I suppose I can piece together a few sentences about college football every now and then.
I remember the little things about college football games more than the big ones. I can remember the feel of the cold metal bleachers, in November 1999, when a fourth down play against Minnesota cost us a shot at a classic National Championship match-up against Bobby Bowden. I can remember everyone standing in the stadium too shell-shocked to leave afterwards.
I can remember sitting in my cold apartment during my senior year (we were too poor to turn the heat on), as the fire burned in the fire place, when an Iowa kicker punched me in the gut with a kick through the uprights. But I don't know much about the big things. I couldn't espouse theories on cover two's and which downs are most appropriate for screen passes (though, honestly Joe, second down every time made it kind of obvious).
But I can tell you a little something about the memories I have made while watching Penn State Football for the last two decades or so. I can tell you that Rob Bolden will be the greatest passer in the history of Penn State, as long as he doesn't get hurt, and we don't get those Philly people, like me, riding him all the time for a mediocre game against the best team in the country. I can tell you that Evan Royster will still run for 1000 yards this year, because Joe never makes his star Tail Backs run 25 times a game until Big Ten Season comes in full swing. I can tell you that this team will finish the season ranked, playing either a Big 12 opponent in San Antonio, or an SEC Team in Tampa. I can tell you this, because my memories and knowledge of Penn State Football tell me that this is the standard, and it's rare indeed when the standard isn't met.
I can also tell you that I know that the loss to Alabama didn't feel a thing like those other two losses I mentioned, and that's not because I don't care as much. It's because, when I watched this game, I watched the better team win. I don't mean that as a hater. I mean that as an honest assessment. Shoot, their second best running back would run for 2000 yards this year if he played for us. McElroy doesn't really do anything for me, but it's that fierce will to win that sets him apart as a player. And frankly, Nick Saban does such a good job getting his teams ready for football games that I'm amazed. Even if I still think he spells his surname incorrectly.
I love football, and I love this time of year, and I think the bulk of the team that lost last Saturday night will lead us through a season that steals our breath and whisks our imagination away on a magic carpet ride; but it won't be this year, I'm afraid. But isn't that what makes those great seasons so great? Watching, waiting and anticipating? So, let's not consider that loss to Alabama, a speed bump, but rather as a growing experience. It is one that we can look back on as the maturation point for so much of that team, like Stupar, Bolden, and that Tail Back who looks awesome.
But for now, dear friends, read these sentences with a grain of salt. And please forgive Ali for allowing me to write on his sacred and brilliant blog. And please remember this blog, when a 6'4, 20 year old with every Penn State Passing record, picks up a Crystal Football on the second Monday of January 2013.
I remember the cold bleachers, and the people standing there in shock. But onward State, and make us proud.
WE ARE...
PENN STATE!
The Tide Rolls On
Now that I've had a few days to cool down and collect my thoughts, I'm ready to break down the Bama game from this past week. It all comes down to one simple and true statement. I assure you, it has nothing to do with the chicken bones falling out of Bobby Bowden's mouth, southern speed, or the humidity in the South. It all comes down to Alabama being the better team.
They did not "outman" us, have an extravagant game plan, or do anything special. However, Alabama did outcoach us, outplay us, and Trent Richardson proved me wrong. With the combination of their preparation for their game, their intensity on the field, and Penn State's lack of preparation, Alabama was and is the better team.
Alabama literally kept it simple against Penn State. Their coaches knew that we would be prepared for a physical game in the trenches, and that we would stack the box with our first defensive packages waiting for them to run. Their team came out on their second drive, with an empty backfield, and literally drove down the field with ease. McElroy was completing passes left and right, and a freshman receiver capped off the drive with his first collegiate reception for a touchdown.
Now here comes the beast of the game, Trent Richardson, he simply did not give up on any of his runs. He refused to go down and fought til the very end of every single carry that he got that night because he had a point to make. He wanted to show everyone that he was not just there to play second fiddle to Mark Ingram. He wanted to assert himself as just as good of a starter, and I have never seen a running back do that to a Penn State defense. Richardson was so good, that over 70% off his yardage came after making contact with a Penn State defender.
Now here is the truth about this Penn State team. At times they not only hung in there with Alabama, but they were taking it to them. Yeah, our drives were not as dominant or pretty as Alabama's, but we were effectively moving the ball down the field against the number one team in the country. Believe it or not, Penn State had more time of possession, converted 17 first downs to Alabama's 19 first downs, ran four more offensive plays, and even converted more third downs than Alabama. But this is the difference maker in the game right here, I do not care what anyone says, it was the turnovers. Yes, Richardson ran all over us like a rag doll in the first half, but the opportunities were there for Penn State. What kills this team even more, is that three out of the four turnovers occurred in the red zone.
There is a basis for these turnovers, what factors in to all these blown chances. Yeah there are those of you that are calling for those missed penalties on two of the turnovers (http://nittanywhiteout.com/2010/09/14/whats-wrong-with-these-pictures/), you have a point, but only to a certain extent. It goes a little bit deeper than two blown calls, and a freshman quarterback. You can simplify it and call it execution (though we committed less penalties than then Alabama), but I want to go ahead and work to the root of this issue.
The root of the issue is a design for failure, and it falls all on the coaching staff. Spare me the sighs and arguments of JoePa the living legend. Just think about how Penn State has played in marquee games the past five years. Take a look at the approach to every single big game that we've played during the modern era in college football. How has Penn State prepared for all of these games? I mean, if Joe Paterno is known for one thing, it has been his ability to prepare for the big game, or should I say was his ability to prepare for the big game.
All the writers and reporters last week were writing about the increase in intensity during the practices up to the game. They talked about the excitement, the chances, the opportunity. How Penn State had no where to go but up. What happened to all of that talk? What happened to fighting out of a corner? Seriously, what did we have to lose playing the number one team in the country?
The truth is that JoePa was too busy trying to protect his team that he hurt them in the worst of ways possible. He did not build a game plan that allowed them to come out of the gates swinging, he did not build confidence in his players, and worst of all, he did not put his players in situations where they could be rewarded. With such a conservative game plan, the players were forced to try and make something happen, rather than explosive plays resulting from their execution. Of course these guys are going to try to force things and make things happen against the number one team in the country, they want to prove something. JoePa was simply playing catch with a dog on a leash, and it's only a matter of time before the dog chokes itself up trying to get to the ball.
It is a sad day in college football when a program like James Madison has more courage and fight against VTech, than Penn State does against Alabama. There is a reason why teams like Boise, App. State, and JMU have had success in big games, because the coaches instill faith and excitement into their players. At Penn State, some times football can just be business as usual. The only exception would be the Penn State and Ohio State game a couple of years ago, when the team came out with a little bit of a swagger. However, you can make the argument that the rage that Navorro Bowman played with on defense that night mixed with a conservative game plan from Jim Tressel set the tone for that game more so than the coaches letting the players play.
At the end of the day, the team did not look as bad as everyone says. Bolden has the maturity of a senior, but played like a freshman. Now, how much of that is to blame on the game plan, I say all of it. Why not let him sling it out on there on the early downs then protect him with screens and short routes on third? Why not develop a rhythm by running the ball then take chances down the field? I would prefer to see his freshman mistakes come from great plays by the defense rather than him playing the odds and losing with the odds in Bama's favor.
The running game still has a way to go, but the coaches also need to let the offensive line get into a rhythm. Royster supposedly bulked up for a heavier workload of what has played out to be 10 carries a game. Silas Redd looks as explosive as any of the players that we have in the backfield. Heck, let Bolden make a defense honest and let him run an option or two to make the defense have to account for everyone on the field? Coaches, stop limiting the possibilities and let these guys play.
Most importantly, the defense needs to develop a personality, some swagger, or at least an edge. The only two players out there that looked like they wanted to hit somebody rather than miss an assignment from coach Joe were Stupar and Lynn. They were looking for someone to hit on every single play they were in there. The defense in the first half played on their heels, trying not to miss assignments out of fear of failure, rather than sending a message that we are not afraid. The defensive tone did not change until the second half. This defense needs to develop an attitude fast (especially with the loss of our hit man in Gerald Hodges) as Big Ten play is just around the corner.
In the end, if Penn State could have capitalized on those drives deep into Alabama territory, the story could have been completely different. If only Bolden was put into situations where he was able to make a play rather than trying to force one in the blandest of schemes. If only the team came out with an identity and an edge on defense. But this is exactly what we got from this game, a whole bunch of ifs and only ifs. Alabama came out with an attitude, executed well, and took well managed risks for one reason, and one reason only: they outcoached us! Until the coaches remove the choker chain from this Penn State program, we will always fall short in marquee match ups.
UP NEXT: Kent State Preview
WE ARE......................
They did not "outman" us, have an extravagant game plan, or do anything special. However, Alabama did outcoach us, outplay us, and Trent Richardson proved me wrong. With the combination of their preparation for their game, their intensity on the field, and Penn State's lack of preparation, Alabama was and is the better team.
Alabama literally kept it simple against Penn State. Their coaches knew that we would be prepared for a physical game in the trenches, and that we would stack the box with our first defensive packages waiting for them to run. Their team came out on their second drive, with an empty backfield, and literally drove down the field with ease. McElroy was completing passes left and right, and a freshman receiver capped off the drive with his first collegiate reception for a touchdown.
Now here comes the beast of the game, Trent Richardson, he simply did not give up on any of his runs. He refused to go down and fought til the very end of every single carry that he got that night because he had a point to make. He wanted to show everyone that he was not just there to play second fiddle to Mark Ingram. He wanted to assert himself as just as good of a starter, and I have never seen a running back do that to a Penn State defense. Richardson was so good, that over 70% off his yardage came after making contact with a Penn State defender.
Now here is the truth about this Penn State team. At times they not only hung in there with Alabama, but they were taking it to them. Yeah, our drives were not as dominant or pretty as Alabama's, but we were effectively moving the ball down the field against the number one team in the country. Believe it or not, Penn State had more time of possession, converted 17 first downs to Alabama's 19 first downs, ran four more offensive plays, and even converted more third downs than Alabama. But this is the difference maker in the game right here, I do not care what anyone says, it was the turnovers. Yes, Richardson ran all over us like a rag doll in the first half, but the opportunities were there for Penn State. What kills this team even more, is that three out of the four turnovers occurred in the red zone.
There is a basis for these turnovers, what factors in to all these blown chances. Yeah there are those of you that are calling for those missed penalties on two of the turnovers (http://nittanywhiteout.com/2010/09/14/whats-wrong-with-these-pictures/), you have a point, but only to a certain extent. It goes a little bit deeper than two blown calls, and a freshman quarterback. You can simplify it and call it execution (though we committed less penalties than then Alabama), but I want to go ahead and work to the root of this issue.
The root of the issue is a design for failure, and it falls all on the coaching staff. Spare me the sighs and arguments of JoePa the living legend. Just think about how Penn State has played in marquee games the past five years. Take a look at the approach to every single big game that we've played during the modern era in college football. How has Penn State prepared for all of these games? I mean, if Joe Paterno is known for one thing, it has been his ability to prepare for the big game, or should I say was his ability to prepare for the big game.
All the writers and reporters last week were writing about the increase in intensity during the practices up to the game. They talked about the excitement, the chances, the opportunity. How Penn State had no where to go but up. What happened to all of that talk? What happened to fighting out of a corner? Seriously, what did we have to lose playing the number one team in the country?
The truth is that JoePa was too busy trying to protect his team that he hurt them in the worst of ways possible. He did not build a game plan that allowed them to come out of the gates swinging, he did not build confidence in his players, and worst of all, he did not put his players in situations where they could be rewarded. With such a conservative game plan, the players were forced to try and make something happen, rather than explosive plays resulting from their execution. Of course these guys are going to try to force things and make things happen against the number one team in the country, they want to prove something. JoePa was simply playing catch with a dog on a leash, and it's only a matter of time before the dog chokes itself up trying to get to the ball.
It is a sad day in college football when a program like James Madison has more courage and fight against VTech, than Penn State does against Alabama. There is a reason why teams like Boise, App. State, and JMU have had success in big games, because the coaches instill faith and excitement into their players. At Penn State, some times football can just be business as usual. The only exception would be the Penn State and Ohio State game a couple of years ago, when the team came out with a little bit of a swagger. However, you can make the argument that the rage that Navorro Bowman played with on defense that night mixed with a conservative game plan from Jim Tressel set the tone for that game more so than the coaches letting the players play.
At the end of the day, the team did not look as bad as everyone says. Bolden has the maturity of a senior, but played like a freshman. Now, how much of that is to blame on the game plan, I say all of it. Why not let him sling it out on there on the early downs then protect him with screens and short routes on third? Why not develop a rhythm by running the ball then take chances down the field? I would prefer to see his freshman mistakes come from great plays by the defense rather than him playing the odds and losing with the odds in Bama's favor.
The running game still has a way to go, but the coaches also need to let the offensive line get into a rhythm. Royster supposedly bulked up for a heavier workload of what has played out to be 10 carries a game. Silas Redd looks as explosive as any of the players that we have in the backfield. Heck, let Bolden make a defense honest and let him run an option or two to make the defense have to account for everyone on the field? Coaches, stop limiting the possibilities and let these guys play.
Most importantly, the defense needs to develop a personality, some swagger, or at least an edge. The only two players out there that looked like they wanted to hit somebody rather than miss an assignment from coach Joe were Stupar and Lynn. They were looking for someone to hit on every single play they were in there. The defense in the first half played on their heels, trying not to miss assignments out of fear of failure, rather than sending a message that we are not afraid. The defensive tone did not change until the second half. This defense needs to develop an attitude fast (especially with the loss of our hit man in Gerald Hodges) as Big Ten play is just around the corner.
In the end, if Penn State could have capitalized on those drives deep into Alabama territory, the story could have been completely different. If only Bolden was put into situations where he was able to make a play rather than trying to force one in the blandest of schemes. If only the team came out with an identity and an edge on defense. But this is exactly what we got from this game, a whole bunch of ifs and only ifs. Alabama came out with an attitude, executed well, and took well managed risks for one reason, and one reason only: they outcoached us! Until the coaches remove the choker chain from this Penn State program, we will always fall short in marquee match ups.
UP NEXT: Kent State Preview
WE ARE......................
Saturday, September 11, 2010
Weekly Picks: Week 2
Starting in the upcoming weeks, you guys are going to be witnessing a few changes here on the blog. We are going to try and make it a little more proactive, focus a little more on what else is going on in college football, and try to get you daily updates. One of these changes is due to the fact that we are going to have a few more people writing on the blog. In other words, be on the lookout for more material, and yes, another perspective ( I know some of you are sick of the optimism).
With that being said, I'm going to go ahead and just keep this one short and sweet. Every week, myself and the new writers on the blog, who will work their way in gradually over the next coming weeks, are going to make picks on that weekend's marquee match-ups. I'm just going to go ahead and post mine for this week, and dare I say pick a few upsets.
Game of The Week (Excluding Penn State vs. Alabama, which I picked 21-17 in PSU's favor)
Ohio State vs. Miami
-Miami has the role players and athleticism to compete in every aspect of the ball game, but I do believe that they are still a year off from being an elite team. This year will definitely be a statement year for them as they turn the corner, but I do believe that Ohio State is one step closer. In the end, Ohio State is a more complete and well-rounded team and I give them the edge. Look for a great match-up throughout the game, with somewhat of an exciting mini-shootout in the fourth quarter and I do believe that Ohio State will prevail.
Ohio State 33- 24 Miami
Florida State vs. Oklahoma
-The Jimbo Fisher era is underway and it seems that Florida State is restoring the luster to a somewhat broken program. They were hitting on all cylinders in their season opener last week, executing well, hitting the big play, and staying disciplined on defense. Oklahoma, however, was on the other end of the spectrum, playing a close and tight knit game against a heavy underdog in Utah State, even though they came out with the win, they dropped in the polls. Either way, the season for each program really starts today. I think Oklahoma bounces back from a lackluster performances and wins this one in a shootout against Florida State.
Oklahoma 42-35 Florida State
Most Interesting Game of the Week (Okay, 2 games this week)
Tennessee vs. Oregon
While both teams had shut-outs to open up the season, it will be interesting to see how both teams fare against somewhat better competition. Tennessee is breaking in a new head coach in Derek Dooley, while Oregon is coming off of a field day without their starting QB from last year (Masoli, Ole Miss) and their star RB in James (served 1 game suspension). Both teams also made a lot of noise in the offseason with player transfers, legal troubles, and position battles. In the end, I do believe that Oregon is the better team, but what I'm most looking forward to is to see what kind of a job Dooley has done in the short time he has been in Knoxville. I think it'll be a lot closer than people think, but Oregon should still dominate this game.
Oregon 27- 17 Tennessee
Michigan vs. Notre Dame
Both teams have come into another season with a lot of uncertainties and speculation. Once again, both teams are unranked and both programs are looking to turn the corner on somewhat of a dismal stretch. It will be interesting to see how the new QBs will look this week against somewhat better competition. I do believe that Michigan faced a tougher opponent in UConn than ND did in Purdue in week 1. I just think that Denard Robinson is the X-factor this week and proves too much for a Brian Kelly defense to handle. Michigan picks off a couple passes on defense, Denard commands the offense to another field day, and UM proves all the beat writers wrong for the second week in a row.
Michigan 38- 21 Notre Dame
Teams on Upset Alert
Florida vs. South Florida
Is this going to be the year where the turnover at Florida was just too much? Has Skip Holtz had enough time to implement his system and gameplan for this match-up against Urban Meyer? I believe that with all the turmoil that these programs went through this offseason, that this might be South Florida's year to knock off the Gators. With a struggling and rebuilding Florida, I do believe that South Florida can pull the upset, however, it all depends on the play of their young QB in BJ Daniels. If John Brantley can manage the snap exchange between him and Pouncey, and their young defense can contain BJ Daniels, Florida will win the game. However, I see more struggles and inconsistencies plaguing the Gators this week. Look for Daniels to burst out on the national scene this week and have his coming out party.
USF 31 - 27 Florida ( I can't believe I'm saying this)
Kansas vs. Georgia Tech (I know this one's a stretch, trust me)
This is going to be my, "what are you thinking", pick of the week. I'm not sure I truly believe this will happen, but it's that one game where you have a gut feeling that something special could happen. Georgia Tech throughout the years has had their fair share of fun running the triple option on the ACC, but they have always struggled against other Big Six programs, and have always played down to the level of teams that they should outclass. I think this is a perfect trap game for them early in the season. They are coming off a confidence builder in week 1 and mentally how are their players preparing for a Kansas team that lost to an FCS school in week 1? I believe GT has a let down game and underestimates the coaching prowess of Turner Gil and the edge that Kansas will be playing with after their own meltdown from week 1. In the end, Kansas plays a more physical game upfront and pulls the upset.
Kansas 37--27 Georgia Tech (No idea where this is coming from, this is my stretch pick of the week, if it happens, enjoy it, if not, look for Nesbitt to increase his stats and play his way into Heisman discussions)
Enjoy Week 2 and let me know what you think.
WE ARE...........................
With that being said, I'm going to go ahead and just keep this one short and sweet. Every week, myself and the new writers on the blog, who will work their way in gradually over the next coming weeks, are going to make picks on that weekend's marquee match-ups. I'm just going to go ahead and post mine for this week, and dare I say pick a few upsets.
Game of The Week (Excluding Penn State vs. Alabama, which I picked 21-17 in PSU's favor)
Ohio State vs. Miami
-Miami has the role players and athleticism to compete in every aspect of the ball game, but I do believe that they are still a year off from being an elite team. This year will definitely be a statement year for them as they turn the corner, but I do believe that Ohio State is one step closer. In the end, Ohio State is a more complete and well-rounded team and I give them the edge. Look for a great match-up throughout the game, with somewhat of an exciting mini-shootout in the fourth quarter and I do believe that Ohio State will prevail.
Ohio State 33- 24 Miami
Florida State vs. Oklahoma
-The Jimbo Fisher era is underway and it seems that Florida State is restoring the luster to a somewhat broken program. They were hitting on all cylinders in their season opener last week, executing well, hitting the big play, and staying disciplined on defense. Oklahoma, however, was on the other end of the spectrum, playing a close and tight knit game against a heavy underdog in Utah State, even though they came out with the win, they dropped in the polls. Either way, the season for each program really starts today. I think Oklahoma bounces back from a lackluster performances and wins this one in a shootout against Florida State.
Oklahoma 42-35 Florida State
Most Interesting Game of the Week (Okay, 2 games this week)
Tennessee vs. Oregon
While both teams had shut-outs to open up the season, it will be interesting to see how both teams fare against somewhat better competition. Tennessee is breaking in a new head coach in Derek Dooley, while Oregon is coming off of a field day without their starting QB from last year (Masoli, Ole Miss) and their star RB in James (served 1 game suspension). Both teams also made a lot of noise in the offseason with player transfers, legal troubles, and position battles. In the end, I do believe that Oregon is the better team, but what I'm most looking forward to is to see what kind of a job Dooley has done in the short time he has been in Knoxville. I think it'll be a lot closer than people think, but Oregon should still dominate this game.
Oregon 27- 17 Tennessee
Michigan vs. Notre Dame
Both teams have come into another season with a lot of uncertainties and speculation. Once again, both teams are unranked and both programs are looking to turn the corner on somewhat of a dismal stretch. It will be interesting to see how the new QBs will look this week against somewhat better competition. I do believe that Michigan faced a tougher opponent in UConn than ND did in Purdue in week 1. I just think that Denard Robinson is the X-factor this week and proves too much for a Brian Kelly defense to handle. Michigan picks off a couple passes on defense, Denard commands the offense to another field day, and UM proves all the beat writers wrong for the second week in a row.
Michigan 38- 21 Notre Dame
Teams on Upset Alert
Florida vs. South Florida
Is this going to be the year where the turnover at Florida was just too much? Has Skip Holtz had enough time to implement his system and gameplan for this match-up against Urban Meyer? I believe that with all the turmoil that these programs went through this offseason, that this might be South Florida's year to knock off the Gators. With a struggling and rebuilding Florida, I do believe that South Florida can pull the upset, however, it all depends on the play of their young QB in BJ Daniels. If John Brantley can manage the snap exchange between him and Pouncey, and their young defense can contain BJ Daniels, Florida will win the game. However, I see more struggles and inconsistencies plaguing the Gators this week. Look for Daniels to burst out on the national scene this week and have his coming out party.
USF 31 - 27 Florida ( I can't believe I'm saying this)
Kansas vs. Georgia Tech (I know this one's a stretch, trust me)
This is going to be my, "what are you thinking", pick of the week. I'm not sure I truly believe this will happen, but it's that one game where you have a gut feeling that something special could happen. Georgia Tech throughout the years has had their fair share of fun running the triple option on the ACC, but they have always struggled against other Big Six programs, and have always played down to the level of teams that they should outclass. I think this is a perfect trap game for them early in the season. They are coming off a confidence builder in week 1 and mentally how are their players preparing for a Kansas team that lost to an FCS school in week 1? I believe GT has a let down game and underestimates the coaching prowess of Turner Gil and the edge that Kansas will be playing with after their own meltdown from week 1. In the end, Kansas plays a more physical game upfront and pulls the upset.
Kansas 37--27 Georgia Tech (No idea where this is coming from, this is my stretch pick of the week, if it happens, enjoy it, if not, look for Nesbitt to increase his stats and play his way into Heisman discussions)
Enjoy Week 2 and let me know what you think.
WE ARE...........................
Thursday, September 9, 2010
Roll Tide
As the second game of the season approaches, all of Nittany Nation has been focused on one thing and one thing only....BAMA. That is all I have heard this week, how great their running backs are, how great they recruit, how they are the new USC, etc. Well it is finally here, which means we can almost stop talking about it and just enjoy the marquee match-up of this weekend.
Here it is, the stiffest test of the season, we're going to be facing the Defending National Champions of College Football. As you have heard, we are going to get crushed, Alabama is going to cruise through this game. Joepa even said that we are going to be "out-manned" throughout this game and doesn't seem optimistic. The question lies here, with all the media and assumptions aside, what should we truly expect this weekend?
I would go ahead and say to expect one of the most exciting games of the season. It might not be the prettiest game of the season, but it will be exciting none the less. I would expect a close, grind it out type game, with flashes of brilliance from both sides. I would expect your heart to go through many ups and downs throughout this game, as Penn State will give Bama an unexpected run for the win. If Joepa knows one thing when it comes to big games, the man knows how to prepare for them. If you think that the team has not been focused and preparing for Alabama all summer, then you must be crazy.
If you also think that Penn State cannot match up with Alabama with talent wise and skill wise at each position, you are also naive. You are still stuck in that mindset that the talent from the teams in the South is much more superior to the talent on the teams in our conference. The truth is that the success of Alabama and Florida the last two years (more so last year Ed Hanna, I know you're shaking your head), masked the mediocrity of the rest of the Southeastern Conference. The rest of college football is catching up to the speed game of the South, and it will be very evident this weekend with match-ups between PSU and Bama, and also Ohio State vs. Miami.
Enough of my biased opinion of the talent level in each conference (I'll admit it, I'll give the SEC a little bit more of an edge Ed with the depth of talent, I hope you're happy), but I do think that the top teams in our conference match up talent wise with the top teams in every other conference. More specifically, I'll refocus to Penn State versus Alabama this weekend. I will go ahead and start off with the focus being their offense vs. our defense.
The truth is that everyone is talking about Alabama's offense this season, how it is a high powered machine, how they are going to just steam roll everyone. Well I'm going to go ahead and say it, there is some truth to that. They are experienced and explosive at every skill position on that side of the ball, they are massive up front on the offensive line, and they've got a great decision maker at quarterback. However, their offense is not built by design to steam roll every opponent they face.
Saban takes a PHYSICAL and systematic approach on offense. Strategically, Saban designs his offense to physically ware defenses down and then he hits them with a big play here and there, to stretch the field. He likes to run into the heart of the defense, keep possession of the ball, and overpower you in the trenches, which sets up opportunities to stretch the field later in the drive. He does this for three simple reasons; one, because Saban likes to control the game, time wise, and to keep his defense fresh; two, he likes to use this to ware a defense out and then eventually exploit them down the field; three, he likes to win ball games. It is a simple approach, you control the game, you control the score, and you win.
Now how does this apply to our game this weekend? It applies in the sense that Alabama does not play with a style that is designed for blowing opponents out. Saban knows that Penn State is not a San Jose State and has too much respect for our program, which is even more reason as to why he will stick to his guns and try to ware our defense out. Now this does not mean that Bama will not hit on big plays because they are very talented on the outside with Maze and Jones, but it would surprise me if that was their focus or if it happened often.
Another reason why Saban is going to want to control the tempo and the time of the game is because they are running very thin on defense. If Saban knows one thing, it is defense and he will have his boys ready, but the truth is that the depth of this defense is not nearly as strong as it has been the past two years. He has to replace 9 starters on defense, one of the returning starters is coming back from a torn ACL, and their returning Defensive MVP of the National Championship game is out due to a suspension. In other words, he is going to want to protect his defense as they form their chemistry, and establish depth on that side of the ball.
In other words, look for this match-up between Penn State's defense and Alabama's offense to be very physical. It will be a battle in the trenches on every down, and it will be interesting to see how Alabama chooses to attack the line of scrimmage. As you have all heard, Ingram will most likely be out for the game. This changes the entire dynamic of the way they run the ball, Richardson is just as talented as Ingram, but in different ways. Richardson likes to run between the tackles, cut and go; while Ingram uses their zone blocking scheme, his vision, and open field ability to run all over a defense. Look for Richardson to get at least 100 yards rushing, but on a heavy workload, which a great thing for our defense. I like the way the size of our front seven and their O-line match up. A match up to watch is going to be the battle at Right Tackle with DJ Fluker and Jack Crawford, our defensive end. Both of them are very talented individuals, and still pretty raw, which makes it an even more intriguing match-up.
These match-ups will also be pretty key to Alabama's passing game. I like McElroy back there as their starter, but he is nothing more than a game manager. Most of his down-field passes are successful because he is given the light of day to make the throw, and his receivers are always making fantastic adjustments to the ball. With that being said, I think the ultimate match up where I would give Alabama an edge would be their receivers against our defensive backs. In order for Penn State to be successful in this match-up, the DBs will need to be physical up front on the line of scrimmage, and the LBs will need to help up by bumping receivers that are coming across the middle. The only way we will succeed will be with help coverage, physical play from the line of scrimmage, and the front seven putting pressure on the QB.
The interesting match up here will be D'Antonn Lynn matched up with Julio Jones. If Lynn (6-1, 202 lbs) can have a break out game and be the physical player that everyone says he is suppose to be, then I think he can do a decent job of keeping Jones in check. The truth is, that he'll need our D-line's help in order to achieve this feat, none the less, it will be an interesting match-up all night long. But I also want to stress the importance of the match up of Stephon Morris with Maze on the other side of the field, Jones may be known as their big play threat, but in my opinion it is Maze that kills opposing defenses with his speed and he's more of a go to guy for McElroy when he's in trouble.
Now I'm going to shift the focus a little more to our team since I now reassured you that Bama is not going to stomp our offense, I'm going to try to rid you of your insecurities regarding our offense vs. their defense. The simple truth about this match-up is that no one knows what to expect for two reasons; one, we have a very raw, but promising player at the QB position in Robert Bolden; two, this is going to be Bama's first real test of their new defense. Both of these units carry a lot of uncertainties but also possess a lot of promise and potential. The key is going to be preparation and execution for this match-up.
As you read in my recap of the game against YSU, Penn State's offense did not really give us anything to go off of (more importantly, they didn't give Bama anything to work with either). They ran everything out of a base offense and simply just broke in a freshman Quarterback. Based on information I have been receiving though, I would expect a lot more passing from Robert Bolden in this game against Alabama. I know a lot of you think I'm crazy for saying that, but the truth is that Bama is going to stack the box against us and dare a freshman QB to throw. This will actually be in our benefit because Bolden can break the pocket, throw on the run, and even make a play with his feet. Rumor has it that Bolden is the fastest incoming freshman on the team, faster than Alex Kenney and Silas Redd who have been clocked at sub 4.4 speed in the forty yard dash. Do not be surprised if Penn State uses Bolden's ability to break to pocket to set up the run against the defense and make Alabama an honest defense.
As for Alabama on the defensive side of the ball, look for them to scheme and disguise blitz packages all over the field. They are going to try and confuse the freshman QB and put him in uncomfortable positions he has yet to be in. It will definitely be interesting to see how they are going to pressure him with their madman Marcell Dareus watching from the sidelines. Their entire defensive line are all new starters, the most intriguing match-up on this side of the ball is definitely without a doubt in my mind the battle in the trenches.
Penn State definitely has more size on the line than Bama does, especially with the loss of Cody to the NFL and Dareus to his suspension. However, it will be interesting to see if they can capitalize on this and pick up the blitzes and give Bolden some time to make some things happen back there. I like this match-up especially because the way Penn State runs the ball out of the spread is a wonderful match-up to attack an aggressive 3-4 defense. With the defense spread out, it allows for the O-line to get to the second level blocking more quickly and the running back to use his vision and ability to get up the field. This is the same tactic that Auburn used to attack Bama on the ground last year. Look for the run game to get going a little more in this game and Royster to have somewhat of a statement game against a nationally respected defense. The key to this match-up will be how a very raw and talented secondary will help in run support.
Which is the second match-up I want to focus on, our wide receivers against their secondary. Last year, Alabama had a very experienced and physical secondary, abusing opposing wide receivers throughout every game. This year, Alabama is breaking in three new skill players in the defensive backfield, and their veteran in Barron is an All - SEC defensive player, but will he be able to handle the burden of being the backbone of this new unit. Last year, Barron's responsibilities were simple, let the corners do their job, play center field, and punish opposing players. It will just be interesting to see how he handles his job this year without the experience and support that allowed him to roam free last year.
Also, how will Bama'a secondary play in the game, knowing that they are thin at the position. Will they be as aggressive as the guys from last year, and how will they match up with our wide receivers. This group of wide receivers as Penn State possesses great size and speed. With the likes of Brown, Zug, Moye, and Brackett, the shortest of which is 6' 2", will they be able to play the same physical style. Will they be able to get off of those blocks and provide support in the run game. I know that they have the ability to cover these guys, but do they have the necessary experience.
The most interesting aspect of this match-up will definitely be how they match-up in four/five receiver sets. Do they have the depth/experience to match up across the field with all those guys, and how will it affect their run support on designed run plays out of that set. I would go ahead and give the advantage to Penn State in this match-up, they just have too much size, experience, and motivation (protecting a freshman QB). If the coaches are smart, they will run many plays out of this set to create as many match-up problems as possible.
All in all, I think that these two teams have just as many questions as answers. It is early in the season, but Bama is the Defending National Champions which definitely gives them an edge. In the end, it is going to be a great match-up all throughout the game, and the team that has prepared the best, executes the best will come out on top. I'm just excited to see how it all plays out this weekend.
In my opinion, I am going to go ahead and say that Penn State pulls the upset. I was a little hesitant with my thinking in this, but I just have a little bit of a hunch that Bama is overrated this year, they just have too many holes on defense. I think that both defenses will cause turnovers and stall drives, but in the end the physical style of play will favor the Nittany Lions. I say that the Lions will come out on top 21-17 in a very tight game. Does this mean that I think that State will go undefeated....HECK NO, but it does mean that I think that they will beat the likes of Alabama this weekend.
Predictions
-Bolden has his freshman moments and some mistakes, but establishes himself as one of the premium freshman in the country this year.
-Both defenses will have great success and might cause the game to stall at times, but each offense will have its moments of brilliance.
- Royster will get back on track this week with at least 17 touches and breaks the century mark.
- Bolden accounts for two of the touchdowns, with Brown having a breakout game at wide receiver.
- Zug will have a great game as a possession receiver moving the ball down the field.
-Richardson will show flashes of brilliance and show why Saban had the confidence in starting him and protecting Ingram by having him get his surgery this early in the season.
-McElroy will be forced into some bad decisions, Lynn will come up with an Int.
-Jones and Maze will cause match-up problems for our defense, and any hiccups will be a result of their play.
- PHYSICAL, PHYSICAL, PHYSICAL play throughout the entire game
-Special teams will play a major factor in the outcome of the game, as it will be a battle of field position until later in the game when the offenses start opening things up a little bit.
-This will be the best game of the weekend
WE ARE................................
Here it is, the stiffest test of the season, we're going to be facing the Defending National Champions of College Football. As you have heard, we are going to get crushed, Alabama is going to cruise through this game. Joepa even said that we are going to be "out-manned" throughout this game and doesn't seem optimistic. The question lies here, with all the media and assumptions aside, what should we truly expect this weekend?
I would go ahead and say to expect one of the most exciting games of the season. It might not be the prettiest game of the season, but it will be exciting none the less. I would expect a close, grind it out type game, with flashes of brilliance from both sides. I would expect your heart to go through many ups and downs throughout this game, as Penn State will give Bama an unexpected run for the win. If Joepa knows one thing when it comes to big games, the man knows how to prepare for them. If you think that the team has not been focused and preparing for Alabama all summer, then you must be crazy.
If you also think that Penn State cannot match up with Alabama with talent wise and skill wise at each position, you are also naive. You are still stuck in that mindset that the talent from the teams in the South is much more superior to the talent on the teams in our conference. The truth is that the success of Alabama and Florida the last two years (more so last year Ed Hanna, I know you're shaking your head), masked the mediocrity of the rest of the Southeastern Conference. The rest of college football is catching up to the speed game of the South, and it will be very evident this weekend with match-ups between PSU and Bama, and also Ohio State vs. Miami.
Enough of my biased opinion of the talent level in each conference (I'll admit it, I'll give the SEC a little bit more of an edge Ed with the depth of talent, I hope you're happy), but I do think that the top teams in our conference match up talent wise with the top teams in every other conference. More specifically, I'll refocus to Penn State versus Alabama this weekend. I will go ahead and start off with the focus being their offense vs. our defense.
The truth is that everyone is talking about Alabama's offense this season, how it is a high powered machine, how they are going to just steam roll everyone. Well I'm going to go ahead and say it, there is some truth to that. They are experienced and explosive at every skill position on that side of the ball, they are massive up front on the offensive line, and they've got a great decision maker at quarterback. However, their offense is not built by design to steam roll every opponent they face.
Saban takes a PHYSICAL and systematic approach on offense. Strategically, Saban designs his offense to physically ware defenses down and then he hits them with a big play here and there, to stretch the field. He likes to run into the heart of the defense, keep possession of the ball, and overpower you in the trenches, which sets up opportunities to stretch the field later in the drive. He does this for three simple reasons; one, because Saban likes to control the game, time wise, and to keep his defense fresh; two, he likes to use this to ware a defense out and then eventually exploit them down the field; three, he likes to win ball games. It is a simple approach, you control the game, you control the score, and you win.
Now how does this apply to our game this weekend? It applies in the sense that Alabama does not play with a style that is designed for blowing opponents out. Saban knows that Penn State is not a San Jose State and has too much respect for our program, which is even more reason as to why he will stick to his guns and try to ware our defense out. Now this does not mean that Bama will not hit on big plays because they are very talented on the outside with Maze and Jones, but it would surprise me if that was their focus or if it happened often.
Another reason why Saban is going to want to control the tempo and the time of the game is because they are running very thin on defense. If Saban knows one thing, it is defense and he will have his boys ready, but the truth is that the depth of this defense is not nearly as strong as it has been the past two years. He has to replace 9 starters on defense, one of the returning starters is coming back from a torn ACL, and their returning Defensive MVP of the National Championship game is out due to a suspension. In other words, he is going to want to protect his defense as they form their chemistry, and establish depth on that side of the ball.
In other words, look for this match-up between Penn State's defense and Alabama's offense to be very physical. It will be a battle in the trenches on every down, and it will be interesting to see how Alabama chooses to attack the line of scrimmage. As you have all heard, Ingram will most likely be out for the game. This changes the entire dynamic of the way they run the ball, Richardson is just as talented as Ingram, but in different ways. Richardson likes to run between the tackles, cut and go; while Ingram uses their zone blocking scheme, his vision, and open field ability to run all over a defense. Look for Richardson to get at least 100 yards rushing, but on a heavy workload, which a great thing for our defense. I like the way the size of our front seven and their O-line match up. A match up to watch is going to be the battle at Right Tackle with DJ Fluker and Jack Crawford, our defensive end. Both of them are very talented individuals, and still pretty raw, which makes it an even more intriguing match-up.
These match-ups will also be pretty key to Alabama's passing game. I like McElroy back there as their starter, but he is nothing more than a game manager. Most of his down-field passes are successful because he is given the light of day to make the throw, and his receivers are always making fantastic adjustments to the ball. With that being said, I think the ultimate match up where I would give Alabama an edge would be their receivers against our defensive backs. In order for Penn State to be successful in this match-up, the DBs will need to be physical up front on the line of scrimmage, and the LBs will need to help up by bumping receivers that are coming across the middle. The only way we will succeed will be with help coverage, physical play from the line of scrimmage, and the front seven putting pressure on the QB.
The interesting match up here will be D'Antonn Lynn matched up with Julio Jones. If Lynn (6-1, 202 lbs) can have a break out game and be the physical player that everyone says he is suppose to be, then I think he can do a decent job of keeping Jones in check. The truth is, that he'll need our D-line's help in order to achieve this feat, none the less, it will be an interesting match-up all night long. But I also want to stress the importance of the match up of Stephon Morris with Maze on the other side of the field, Jones may be known as their big play threat, but in my opinion it is Maze that kills opposing defenses with his speed and he's more of a go to guy for McElroy when he's in trouble.
Now I'm going to shift the focus a little more to our team since I now reassured you that Bama is not going to stomp our offense, I'm going to try to rid you of your insecurities regarding our offense vs. their defense. The simple truth about this match-up is that no one knows what to expect for two reasons; one, we have a very raw, but promising player at the QB position in Robert Bolden; two, this is going to be Bama's first real test of their new defense. Both of these units carry a lot of uncertainties but also possess a lot of promise and potential. The key is going to be preparation and execution for this match-up.
As you read in my recap of the game against YSU, Penn State's offense did not really give us anything to go off of (more importantly, they didn't give Bama anything to work with either). They ran everything out of a base offense and simply just broke in a freshman Quarterback. Based on information I have been receiving though, I would expect a lot more passing from Robert Bolden in this game against Alabama. I know a lot of you think I'm crazy for saying that, but the truth is that Bama is going to stack the box against us and dare a freshman QB to throw. This will actually be in our benefit because Bolden can break the pocket, throw on the run, and even make a play with his feet. Rumor has it that Bolden is the fastest incoming freshman on the team, faster than Alex Kenney and Silas Redd who have been clocked at sub 4.4 speed in the forty yard dash. Do not be surprised if Penn State uses Bolden's ability to break to pocket to set up the run against the defense and make Alabama an honest defense.
As for Alabama on the defensive side of the ball, look for them to scheme and disguise blitz packages all over the field. They are going to try and confuse the freshman QB and put him in uncomfortable positions he has yet to be in. It will definitely be interesting to see how they are going to pressure him with their madman Marcell Dareus watching from the sidelines. Their entire defensive line are all new starters, the most intriguing match-up on this side of the ball is definitely without a doubt in my mind the battle in the trenches.
Penn State definitely has more size on the line than Bama does, especially with the loss of Cody to the NFL and Dareus to his suspension. However, it will be interesting to see if they can capitalize on this and pick up the blitzes and give Bolden some time to make some things happen back there. I like this match-up especially because the way Penn State runs the ball out of the spread is a wonderful match-up to attack an aggressive 3-4 defense. With the defense spread out, it allows for the O-line to get to the second level blocking more quickly and the running back to use his vision and ability to get up the field. This is the same tactic that Auburn used to attack Bama on the ground last year. Look for the run game to get going a little more in this game and Royster to have somewhat of a statement game against a nationally respected defense. The key to this match-up will be how a very raw and talented secondary will help in run support.
Which is the second match-up I want to focus on, our wide receivers against their secondary. Last year, Alabama had a very experienced and physical secondary, abusing opposing wide receivers throughout every game. This year, Alabama is breaking in three new skill players in the defensive backfield, and their veteran in Barron is an All - SEC defensive player, but will he be able to handle the burden of being the backbone of this new unit. Last year, Barron's responsibilities were simple, let the corners do their job, play center field, and punish opposing players. It will just be interesting to see how he handles his job this year without the experience and support that allowed him to roam free last year.
Also, how will Bama'a secondary play in the game, knowing that they are thin at the position. Will they be as aggressive as the guys from last year, and how will they match up with our wide receivers. This group of wide receivers as Penn State possesses great size and speed. With the likes of Brown, Zug, Moye, and Brackett, the shortest of which is 6' 2", will they be able to play the same physical style. Will they be able to get off of those blocks and provide support in the run game. I know that they have the ability to cover these guys, but do they have the necessary experience.
The most interesting aspect of this match-up will definitely be how they match-up in four/five receiver sets. Do they have the depth/experience to match up across the field with all those guys, and how will it affect their run support on designed run plays out of that set. I would go ahead and give the advantage to Penn State in this match-up, they just have too much size, experience, and motivation (protecting a freshman QB). If the coaches are smart, they will run many plays out of this set to create as many match-up problems as possible.
All in all, I think that these two teams have just as many questions as answers. It is early in the season, but Bama is the Defending National Champions which definitely gives them an edge. In the end, it is going to be a great match-up all throughout the game, and the team that has prepared the best, executes the best will come out on top. I'm just excited to see how it all plays out this weekend.
In my opinion, I am going to go ahead and say that Penn State pulls the upset. I was a little hesitant with my thinking in this, but I just have a little bit of a hunch that Bama is overrated this year, they just have too many holes on defense. I think that both defenses will cause turnovers and stall drives, but in the end the physical style of play will favor the Nittany Lions. I say that the Lions will come out on top 21-17 in a very tight game. Does this mean that I think that State will go undefeated....HECK NO, but it does mean that I think that they will beat the likes of Alabama this weekend.
Predictions
-Bolden has his freshman moments and some mistakes, but establishes himself as one of the premium freshman in the country this year.
-Both defenses will have great success and might cause the game to stall at times, but each offense will have its moments of brilliance.
- Royster will get back on track this week with at least 17 touches and breaks the century mark.
- Bolden accounts for two of the touchdowns, with Brown having a breakout game at wide receiver.
- Zug will have a great game as a possession receiver moving the ball down the field.
-Richardson will show flashes of brilliance and show why Saban had the confidence in starting him and protecting Ingram by having him get his surgery this early in the season.
-McElroy will be forced into some bad decisions, Lynn will come up with an Int.
-Jones and Maze will cause match-up problems for our defense, and any hiccups will be a result of their play.
- PHYSICAL, PHYSICAL, PHYSICAL play throughout the entire game
-Special teams will play a major factor in the outcome of the game, as it will be a battle of field position until later in the game when the offenses start opening things up a little bit.
-This will be the best game of the weekend
WE ARE................................
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